| 人民币汇率波动对我国进出口贸易的影响——基于2005．7-2008．12月度面板数据的经验分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 许锐. 人民币汇率波动对我国进出口贸易的影响——基于2005．7-2008．12月度面板数据的经验分析[J]. 辽宁大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2009, 37(6): 130-137 |
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| 作者姓名： | 许锐 |
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| 作者单位： | 宁波大学,商学院,浙江,宁波,315211 |
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| 摘 要： | 依据自2005年7月汇制改革至2008年12月的相关月度数据，利用多元协整技术，估计我国进出口方程以及中美、中德双边进出口方程，检验汇率、收入和FDI等宏观经济变量与我国贸易收支之间的协整关系，对比分析各变量对贸易收支的影响，识别影响贸易收支的主要宏观经济变量，并提出改善我国贸易收支的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 贸易收支 汇率波动 进出口方程 协整分析 |
The Influences of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuations on China's Import and Export Trade |
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| XU Rui. The Influences of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuations on China's Import and Export Trade[J]. Jounal of Liaoning University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 2009, 37(6): 130-137 |
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| Authors: | XU Rui |
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| Affiliation: | Xu Rui(School of Business, Ningbo University Ningbo, Zhejiang 315211, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the related monthly data from the exchange rate reform in July, 2005 to December, 2008, this article adopts the multiple exchange rate cointegration technique to estimate our import-export equation, Sino and China- Germany bilateral equations, to inspect the cointegration of the macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate, income and FDI ,etc. and our trade balance, thus compare and analyze the influences of variables on trade balance, so as to recognize the main macroeconomic variables and propose the advices on improving our trade balance. |
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| Keywords: | trade balance exchange rate fluctuations import- export equation cointegration analysis |
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