投入产出乘数的韩中比较:以产业关联模型的"一般关系"为中心

以韩国(1998年为准)与中国(1997年为准)的全国产业关联表为基本资料,对于产出物的"投入诱发系数矩阵"进行了新的推导.由此,对投入、雇佣及所得乘数进行了重新定义.本论文就是对乘数进行数量上的推算,进而对韩中两国进行比较与分析.

A Comparison of Input-Output Multipliers between Ko-rea and China:With Attention to the General Relation of the Interindustry Model

The author proposed the general relation between two different direct and indirect input requirements in the open static input-output model. Moreover, Gim(2000, 2002) also showed that the elements of the Leontief inverse C can be decomposed into four different parts; and that the elements of the total input requirements matrix for a unit of gross output can be decomposed into two different parts. The results from the analysis of interindustry linkages and sectoral multipliers for output, income, employment, and income suggest that petroleum and coal products, primary metal products, chemical products, and electrical and electronic equipment might be given more attention in Korea, since expansion(or contraction) of these high impact sectors would have wide-spreading positive (or negative) effects on the national economy. However, in China, the High impact sectors are chemical products, electrical and electronic Equipment, Primary metal products, and wholesale and retail trade. Hopefully, we expect that the method and findings will be used in many different countries and applications: especially in environmental and energy input-output models, intensity analysis of resources, and multiplier and impact analysis.