| 安徽省金融发展与经济增长的因果关系检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 张兴军,杨桂元. 安徽省金融发展与经济增长的因果关系检验[J]. 统计与信息论坛, 2005, 20(4): 52-55 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张兴军 杨桂元 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 安徽财经大学,研究生部,安徽,蚌埠,233041
2. 安徽财经大学,统计与应用数学学院,安徽,蚌埠,233041 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章从实证角度研究了安徽省金融发展与经济增长的关系,得出两个主要结论:一是安徽省金融发展是经济增长的格兰杰原因,是单方向的,即金融发展推动了经济增长而经济增长没有促进金融的发展;二是资本市场还不规范,它不构成经济增长的显著影响因素。通过对安徽省经济运行特点的分析,对产生结论的原因给出了合理解释并且提出了相应的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 金融发展 单位根 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-3116(2005)04-0052-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-11-17 |
Financial Development and Economic Growth in Anhui Province: Granger Causality Test |
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| ZHANG Xing-jun,YANG Gui-yuan. Financial Development and Economic Growth in Anhui Province: Granger Causality Test[J]. Statistics & Information Tribune, 2005, 20(4): 52-55 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xing-jun YANG Gui-yuan |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Xing-jun~1,YANG Gui-yuan~2 |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies the relation between financial development and economic growth in Anhui province and gets two main conclusions: 1. Financial development does Granger cause economic growth in Anhui province but economic growth does not promote financial development; 2. Capital market does not granger cause economic growth and it is not a desirable market. The paper gives more appropriate explanations to two (conclusions) upon analysis of economic development. The paper suggests that Anhui provincial government should understand interaction between business and government, interaction between business and bank firstly. |
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| Keywords: | Financial development Unit root Co-integration test Granger causality test. |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
