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城市开发风险的可控性及其控制机制
引用本文:夏南凯,宋海瑜.城市开发风险的可控性及其控制机制[J].同济大学学报(社会科学版),2007,18(6):19-26.
作者姓名:夏南凯  宋海瑜
作者单位:同济大学,建筑与城市规划学院,上海,200092
摘    要:首先从控制论的角度分析可控系统和可控性的概念,并分析影响城市开发项目风险可控性的客观与主观因素及其相互关系,然后从项目风险自身可控性出发将与城市开发相关的风险划分为可控风险和不可控风险两大范畴,进而应用风险效用理论对风险的可控性加以进一步分析,最后从技术控制措施和社会控制方式两个角度提出了城市开发项目风险控制的基本思路。

关 键 词:城市开发  风险管理  可控性  风险效用  技术控制  社会控制
文章编号:1009-3060(2007)06-0019-08
修稿时间:2007年9月17日

The Controllability and Mechanism of Risks in City Development
XIA Nan-kai,SONG Hai-yu.The Controllability and Mechanism of Risks in City Development[J].Journal of Tongji University(Social Science Section),2007,18(6):19-26.
Authors:XIA Nan-kai  SONG Hai-yu
Abstract:This paper presents an analysis of the concept of the controllable system and controllability from the perspectives of cybernetics and the relationships of the objective and subjective elements that impact the controllability of risks in city development.City development risks are divided into controllable and uncontrollable risks,and a profound analysis is made of the controllability of risks on the basis of the theory of Risk Usage.Finally,the paper presents some proposals on controlling risks in city development from the viewpoint of technology and social control.
Keywords:City Development  Risk Management  Controllability  Risk Usage  Technical Control  Social Control
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