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Nonparametric Estimation Methods of Integrated Multivariate Volatilities
Authors:Toshiya Hoshikawa  Keiji Nagai  Taro Kanatani
Institution:1. Faculty of Economics , Yokohama National University , Yokohama, Japan;2. Institute of Economic Research , Kyoto University , Sakyo Kyoto, Japan
Abstract:Estimation of integrated multivariate volatilities of an Itô process is an interesting and important issue in finance, for example, in order to evaluate portfolios. New non-parametric estimators have been recently proposed by Malliavin and Mancino (2002 Malliavin , P. , Mancino , M. ( 2002 ). Fourier series method for measurement of multivariate volatilities . Finance and Stochastics 6 : 4961 .Crossref], Web of Science ®] Google Scholar]) and Hayashi and Yoshida (2005a Hayashi , T. , Yoshida , N. (2005a). On covariance estimation of nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes. Bernoulli 11(2):359379.Crossref], Web of Science ®] Google Scholar]) as alternative methods to classical realized quadratic covariation. The purpose of this article is to compare these alternative estimators both theoretically and empirically, when high frequency data is available. We found that the Hayashi–Yoshida estimator performs the best among the alternatives in view of the bias and the MSE. The other estimators are shown to have possibly heavy bias mostly toward the origin. We also applied these estimators to Japanese Government Bond futures to obtain the results consistent with our simulation.
Keywords:High frequency data  Integrated volatility  Nonparametric estimators  Weighted realized volatility
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