人口安全预警指标体系及其量化探讨

本文在简要阐述人口安全概念的基础上,对人口安全测评指标体系的构建及其量化,笔者按照构建的总体指导思想与原则的确立、测评体系结构框架的设置、可操作指标的筛选并用树状图把指标体系显示出来和对入选指标逐一进行量化的逻辑思路,构建了一套系统全面、简明、科学、可行的人口安全测评指标体系及其量化预警标准,旨在为研究和制定“十一五”人口发展战略以及该论题的后续深入研究提供参考依据。

Safe and early-warning index sign in population system and its deals turn to study

This text expatiates the foundation top of the safe concept in population in the synopsis, measure to the population safety the evaluation index sign system set up and its deal turns, writer according to total leading thought that sets up the basis and the establishment of the principle, measure the evaluation system construction frame establishes, can operate the choice of the index sign,use the tree form diagram come out the index sign system manifestation, proceed the logic way of thinking that deal turn one by one to the index sign value, set up a set of systems completely, chien is clear, science, viable population safety measures the evaluation index sign system and its deals turn the early-warning standard, aiming at for research with establish the"11" population the development the strategy and should talk about of follow-up thorough research the offering consults basis.