| 中国煤炭消费和经济增长关系的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱博智,杨万华. 中国煤炭消费和经济增长关系的研究[J]. 华北电力大学学报(社会科学版), 2008, 0(1): 21-25 |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱博智 杨万华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京电力公司,总经理工作部,北京,100031
2. 北京交通大学,经济管理学院,北京,100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于对我国煤炭消费的基本分析，本文运用了协整理论分析了煤炭消费和经济增长的协整关系，建立了煤炭消费和经济增长的Granger因果关系检验模型，得出了煤炭消费和经济增长具有长期的协整关系，短期具有双向的Granger因果关系；研究了煤炭消费对能源效率的影响和对经济产出的贡献，煤炭比重的过大是我国能源效率低的重要原因，煤炭对经济的产出的贡献低于能源对经济的平均产出的贡献。
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| 关 键 词： | 煤炭消费 协整理论 Granger因果关系检验模型 能源效率 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-2603(2008)01-0021-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-11-06 |
Study on Coal Consumption and Economic Growth in China |
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| ZHU Bo-zhi,YANG Wan-hua. Study on Coal Consumption and Economic Growth in China[J]. Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences), 2008, 0(1): 21-25 |
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| Authors: | ZHU Bo-zhi YANG Wan-hua |
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| Affiliation: | ZHU Bo-zhi, YANG Wan-hua( 1. Beijing Electric Power Corporation, Beijing 100031, China; 2. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper based on the basic analysis of China＇ s coal consumption, used the theory of cointegrate to analyze cointegration relationship between coal consumption and economic growth, established the Granger causality model of coal consumption and economic growth, and reached the conclusion that coal consumption and economic growth have long-term cointegrated relationship and shortterm mutual Granger causality. Then the paper researched coal consumption--how coal consumption impacted the energy efficiency and the economic output. China consumed too large proportion coal that it led to the lower energy efficiency. The contribution of coal consumption is lower than the average energy in the economic output. |
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| Keywords: | coal consumption the theory of cointegrate the Granger causality model energy efficiency |
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