中国对金砖国家农产品出口潜力:贸易便利化视角

采用拓展的引力模型,在贸易便利化视角下分析中国对金砖国家农产品出口潜力,特别是发现贸易便利化的不同指标在中国对各金砖国家农产品出口中的影响。研究表明,在所选定的指标中贸易便利化水平对中国农产品出口潜力的实现作用最明显。俄罗斯是中国扩大农产品出口潜力最大的国家。中国应注重改善口岸设施与海关环境,以促进中国向金砖国家出口农产品。在扩大中国对南非、印度的农产品出口上,应主要关注其电子商务和海关效率,而俄罗斯和巴西口岸设施水平的提高更有利于中国农产品出口潜力的实现。

Analysis on export potential of agricultural product of China to BRICS from perspective of trade facilitation

The extended gravity model is used to analyze the potential of the Chinese agricultural exports to BRICS countries from the perspective of trade facilitation, and in particular to find the impact of different indicators of trade facilitation on the Chinese agricultural exports to BRICS countries. It shows that the trade facilitation level has significant impact on the realization of the export potential of the Chinese agricultural products among the selected indictors. Russia has the biggest potential for China to expand the export of agricultural products. China should focus on improving customs environment and port facilities to promote the export of agricultural products to BRICS countries. In expanding the Chinese agricultural exports to South Africa and India, the main focus should be on e-commerce and customs efficiency, while the improvement of port facilities in Russia and Brazil is more conducive to the realization of of the Chinese agricultural export potential.