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2004年新疆周边形势分析报告
引用本文:潘志平,石岚.2004年新疆周边形势分析报告[J].新疆社会科学,2005(1):56-69.
作者姓名:潘志平  石岚
作者单位:新疆社会科学院中亚研究所 (潘志平),新疆社会科学院中亚研究所(石岚)
基金项目:新疆社会科学院课题组完成的年度重点课题:《2004年新疆周边形势分析与预测》的主报告,经压缩后刊出
摘    要:2004年的新疆周边形势体现出多方面的特点:大国关系影响下的中南亚地缘政治乍暖还寒; 恐怖活动仍未停止;“东突”组织暗流涌动。而与此同时,上海合作组织则启动了东方反恐机制,开辟着现 代“丝绸之路”;中亚经济以及与中国新疆的合作也出现了诸多亮点。展望2005,新疆周边可能持续着和平 发展的势头,但诸多复杂因素交织使中南亚的地缘政治悬念迭出、走势微妙。

关 键 词:地缘政治  大国关系  恐怖主义  上海合作组织  经贸合作
文章编号:1009-5330(2005)01-0056-14

2004 analysis report on the surrounding international situation of Xinjiang
Pan Zhiping and Shi Lan.2004 analysis report on the surrounding international situation of Xinjiang[J].Social Sciences in Xinjiang,2005(1):56-69.
Authors:Pan Zhiping and Shi Lan
Institution:Pan Zhiping and Shi Lan
Abstract:The surrounding international situation of Xinjiang in 2004 shows various features: after getting better, the geostrategic situation of the Central and Southern Asia had turned bad again under the influences of the major powers' relations; terrorism did not stop yet; the undercurrent of the Eastern Turkistan organizations sill flowed. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization initiated the regional anti-terrorist structure, pioneering a Silk Road of modern times, and both the Central Asian economy and its cooperation with Xinjiang of China displayed a lot of highlights. In 2005, the international situation surrounding Xinjiang is likely to maintain the tendency towards peace and development, but the interwoven complicated factors will make the geostrategic situation of the Central and Southern Asia full of suspense and develop subtly.
Keywords:Geopolitics  major powers' relation  terrorism  the Shanghai Cooperation Organization  economic and trade cooperation
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