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人口因素对CO2排放的影响:区域差异与动态变化
引用本文:刘玉萍,郭郡郡,刘成玉.人口因素对CO2排放的影响:区域差异与动态变化[J].西北人口,2012,33(2):74-78.
作者姓名:刘玉萍  郭郡郡  刘成玉
作者单位:1. 西华师范大学 政治学研究所,四川南充,637009
2. 西南财经大学 中国西部经济研究中心,成都,611130
基金项目:国家社科基金重大招标项目应对气候变化下我国城市生态环境可持续发展与生态文明建设研究(项目批准号:09&ZD049)
摘    要:基于1995—2009年中国省级面板数据,利用IPAT模型建立基本的分析框架,研究人口数量、人口年龄结构、人口城市化率以及家庭规模等人口因素对我国CO2排放的影响,结果显示,由于人口因素与CO2排放的关系与经济发展特征有关,而我国处于经济快速增长的过程中且区域经济发展存在差异,使得影响我国全国CO2排放的人口因素不同于各区域内部,在经济发展的不同阶段、甚至不同年份,导致省际CO2排放差异的人口因素也在不断变化。

关 键 词:人口因素  CO2排放  区域差异  动态变化

The Impact of Demographic Factors on CO2 Emissions: Regional Differences and Dynamic Changes
LIU Yu-ping , GUO Jun-jun , LIU Cheng-yu.The Impact of Demographic Factors on CO2 Emissions: Regional Differences and Dynamic Changes[J].Northwest Population Journal,2012,33(2):74-78.
Authors:LIU Yu-ping  GUO Jun-jun  LIU Cheng-yu
Institution:1.Political Science Institute of China West Normal University,Nanchong 637009 China;2.West Economy Research Center of Southwest Finance and Economics University,Chengdu 611130 China)
Abstract:Based on provincial panel data in China from 1995 to 2009,Using IPAT model establish a basic analytical framework to study the impact of population quantity,population age structure,urbanization and family size on Chinas CO2 emissions,The results showed that,Due to the relationship between demographic factors and CO2 emissions are affected by economic development,China now in~the process of rapid economic growth and regional economic development are different,Which makes the impact factors of China’s national CO2 emission is different from the factors within the region,in different stages of economic development,even in different years.The demographic factors resulting in the differences of inter-provincial CO2 emissions are changing.
Keywords:Demographic factors  CO2 Emissions  Regional differences  Dynamic changes
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