新疆农村贫困程度测度与扶贫资金动态绩效分析

新疆作为一个多民族、多宗教、多文化、多语言共存的特殊地区,扎实应对和稳步解决新疆贫困问题,事关祖国边疆的安全与稳定。首先,通过测算1994—2009年FGT贫困指数后发现:新疆农村的贫困广度、贫困深度和贫困强度的变化趋势具有波动性和阶段性特征,而且近几年减贫速度明显放缓,甚至有趋于加重的趋势;新疆农村居民的收入差距状况也不容乐观,正处于危险的边缘。然后,利用状态空间模型分析扶贫资金对贫困程度的动态扶贫绩效,得出以下结论:信贷扶贫资金的整体表现最佳,财政扶贫资金作用居中,以工代赈资金则在降低贫困强度方面表现较好;同时,总结出以下规律:当贫困程度较深时,具有较强盈利性的信贷扶贫资金和较强扩散性的财政扶贫资金更为有效;当由大范围贫困转为少数人贫困时,具有较强针对性的以工代赈资金更为有效。

Rural Poverty Measurement and Dynamic Performance of anti-poverty funds in Xinjiang

Xinjiang as a multi-ethnic,multi-religious,multi-cultural,multi-language co-exist special areas,solidly and steadily solve the problem of poverty in Xinjiang,which is related to homeland security and stability in border areas.First,estimate the FGT poverty index from 1994 to 2009 found that the breadth of poverty,poverty depth and poverty intensity have volatility and phase.And the significant slowdown in poverty reduction in recent years,even becoming worse.The income gap between rural residents in Xinjiang is not optimistic,which are at the edge of danger.Then,using the state space model to analyze the performance of anti-poverty funds in Xinjiang,the following conclusions:credit funds is the best,the role of financial funds is middle,work-relief funds have good performance in reducing poverty intensity;the same time,summed up the following rules:When the poverty level deeper,with strong profitability of the credit funds and a strong spread of the financial funds are more effective;when only few people poverty,with the highly-targeted work-relief funds are more effectively.