安徽省际流出人口空间选择研究

探讨中小尺度人口流动的基本特征和基本格局是揭示我国当前人口流动规律的重要手段,也是解析人口时空过程的重要方式。本文以安徽省际流出人口为研究对象,从静态角度分析,安徽省际流出人口具有东向选择特征,各地级市的人口流向具有一定的空间选择性。从动态角度分析,流向长三角区域的江苏、浙江、上海比例有所增长,流向福建和天津的比例升高,流向广东、河南、辽宁、山东、湖北等地均不同程度下降,流向比例的变化意味着区域替代性特征开始显现。对省际流出人口空间选择的成因分析,发现距离对空间选择影响显著,有无直通火车对流出空间的选择影响并不显著,人均GDP水平对空间选择并不显著,就业岗位规模和人均就业岗位对空间选择影响显著,建成区面积、城市人口、万人拥有公共汽车、人均城市道路面积等因子对空间选择影响并不显著。

Spatial Selection on Population Flowing Out of Anhui Province

To learn small-scale population moving pattern of the basic characteristics not only reveal an important means of China’s current population flow law,but also analyze an important temporal and spatial process of population.In this paper,the occasion is the population who flows out of Anhui Province.From the dynamic point of view,the population who flow to Yangtze River Delta region of Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Shanghai have increased,and also increased of Fujian and Tianjin,while Guangdong,Henan,Liaoning,Shandong,Hubei and other places were decreased.The change means that the regional characteristics of alternative starting to show.Analyzed the causes of selection of population inter-provincial flow,we found from the significant effect on the distance,whether directly through the train on out of space is not significant,the level of per capita GDP is not significant,jobs and per capita is significant effect on the choice of space,built-up area,urban population,people with a bus,the per capita area of urban road space and other factors on choice is not significant.