| 畜产品价格定量预测方法评析 |
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| 引用本文： | 唐江娇.畜产品价格定量预测方法评析[J].重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版),2011,28(1):48-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 唐江娇 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建农林大学经济与管理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 福建省科技厅软科学项目(2009R0007)“软科学的方法选择与应用” |
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| 摘 要： | 通过文献研究,本文归纳出定量预测畜产品价格的方法模型主要有回归模型、Box-Jenkins方法和VAR模型以及神经网络模型。没有明确的证据显示某一种方法或模型一定优于另一种方法或模型。在畜产品价格预测中,如果需要得到较为精确的预测结果,可供借鉴的做法是采用两种以上的方法或模型进行比较,或者进行组合。
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| 关 键 词： | 畜牧业 畜产品 价格预测 Box-Jenkins方法 VAR模型 神经网络模型 |
Literature Review on Application of Quantitative Methods to Prediction of Animal Products Price |
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| TANG Jiang-qiao.Literature Review on Application of Quantitative Methods to Prediction of Animal Products Price[J].Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University Social Science Edition,2011,28(1):48-53. |
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| Authors: | TANG Jiang-qiao |
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| Institution: | TANG Jiang-qiao(College of Economics and Management,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fujian Fuzhou 350002,China) |
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| Abstract: | Through literature research,this paper summarized main quantitative prediction models of animal products price including regression model,Box-Jenkins method,VAR model,and the neural network model.There is no obvious conclusive evidence that a method or a model is better than another method or model.If more accurate prediction results are needed about prediction of animal products price,the feasible method is to compare or combine two methods or models or more. |
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| Keywords: | animal husbandry animal products price prediction Box-Jenkins method VAR model neural network model |
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