京津冀化解产能过剩中企业劳资冲突的风险预警

根据“桑德沃理论模型”以及在调查和分析京津冀化解产能过剩中企业劳资冲突风险现状和主要问题的基础上，自行设计了企业劳资冲突风险预警理论指标体系，在初选预警指标体系的基础上，采用粗糙集理论分析样本企业历史指标数据与劳资冲突事件发生结果之间的关系，进行属性约简并确定每个指标的客观权重，再结合主观赋权，得到每个指标的综合权重，将最初的22个三级理论指标约简至15个操作指标体系。在收集了京津冀三地钢铁、水泥、电解铝3个产能过剩行业的有代表性的48家企业和246份员工问卷数据的基础上，基于主客观综合权重及数据的规范化处理结果，运用多属性决策方法对样本企业劳资冲突风险状况进行综合评价和量化预警。运用的组合赋权方式增强了量化预警的客观性和科学性，预警结果表明：有一半的样本企业劳动关系存在一定风险，其中处于重警状态即处于危险区域的企业占17%，处于巨警状态即处于极危险区的企业占2%。警情较重、处于极危险区和危险区的企业中，以国有企业为主，占50%；民营企业占30%；股份制企业占16%。从行业分布来看，主要集中在钢铁行业。

Risk Early warning of the Labor management Conflictunder the Background of Resolving Excess Capacity for

According to the "Sandver theory model" and to resolving the overcapacity in the labor conflict risk status and the main problems in the investigation and analysis of Beijing Tianjin Hebei,the labor conflict risk early warning index system theory is designed based on the primary early warning index system,the rough set theory is used to analyze the relationship between the sample of enterprise historical data and the results of labor clash,and the attribute reduction iscarried to objectively determine the weight of each index,then combining subjective weight,to get the weight of each index,and reduce the first 22 three level index theory to 15 operating index system.After collecting the six industries with excess capacity represented by 48 enterprises and 246 copies of questionnaires and data in Beijing Tianjin Hebei,including iron and steel,coal,cement,electrolytic aluminum,flat glass,and boat,and on the basis of the subjective and objective weights and the standardization of data processing,this paper uses the multi attribute decision making method to evaluate comprehensively and have quantitative warning on the labor conflict risk status of the sample enterprises.The combination weighting method is used to enhance the objectivity and the scientific nature of the quantitative warning,and early warning results show that: there is a half of the sample enterprise labor relations having a certain risk,in which the enterprises are in the serious warning state,that is in the dangerous area accounting for 17%,and in the very severe state,that is in the very dangerous area accounting for 2%.The enterprises which are in the serious and the most dangerous areas are mainly state owned enterprises,accounting for 50%;private enterprises account for 30%;joint stock enterprises account for 16%.According to industry distribution,the enterprises mainly concentrate in the steel industry.