霍尔特指数平滑法参数的优选

霍尔特指数平滑方法有是一种高级的指数平滑方法,它有二个基本平滑公式和一个预测公式。霍尔特指数平滑方法进行预测时,最重要、而且最因难的工作是确定平滑参数的取值问题。目前,在有关参考文献中均未见到相关问题的论述。本文偿试使用运筹学的方法解决平滑参数的优选问题。为霍尔特指数平滑方法在实际中的应用提供一种有效的途径。

The Optimization of parameters about Holt Exponential Smoothing

Holt Exponential Smoothing is one of the advanced exponential smoothing methods. There are two basic smoothing formula and a forecasting formula. It is the most important and the most difficult that how to determine the value of smoothing parameters with Holt Exponential Smoothing. At present , it has not been referred to related reference . In this paper we will discuss this issue applying Operational Research Methods so as to provide a valid approach of real applications about Holt Exponential Smoothing .