中国能源价格与相关产业价格影响机制实证分析——基于投入产出价格模型

能源是人类生产生活的必需品, 能源价格的波动对于经济发展的影响是一个不容忽视的问题。在提出四项假设的基础上, 基于投入产出价格模型对煤炭开采和洗选业, 石油、天然气开采业, 石油及核燃料加工业, 电力、热力生产及供应业等4个能源行业与其相关产业价格的影响机制进行了实证分析, 并给出了价格传导链条的数量关系。研究表明:不同能源的价格波动对相关产业的价格影响存在很大的差异, 而且有些部门之间会形成价格影响螺旋。研究结论揭示了能源及相关产业价格运行的关键环节和传导机制, 可以作为政府相关部门对能源及相关产业进行宏观调控的理论及操作依据。

The Empirical Analysis of the Influence Mechanism of Chinese Energy Price and Its Related Industries -Based on the Input-output Model

Energy is essential for human’s production and existence, as the result of which, the fluctuation of energy price is an important factor for economic development. According to four hypotheses, this essay uses input-output model to provide empirical analysis on the influencing mechanism of four energy industries: coal mining and washing industry, petroleum and natural gas industry, petroleum and nuclear fuel processing industry, electric and heating power production and supply industry. Besides, it shows the numerical relationship of price transmission chain. Based on the study, different energy price fluctuations have differing impacts on related industries, and the price of some certain departments may spiral. This essay illustrates crucial factors of energy and its related industries, as well as their transmission mechanism, which provides a new perspective for the government’s macro-modulation on energy and its related industries.