UNDER WAY AND HERE TO STAY PARTY REALIGNMENT IN THE 1980s? |
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| Authors: | NORPOTH HELMUT |
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| Affiliation: | Professor of Political Science at the State University of New York, Stony Brook |
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| Abstract: | In recent years, the Republican party has sharply narrowed theDemocratic edge in overall party identification. Using New YorkTimes/CBS News surveys (1980–1986) and earlier NES/CPSsurveys, this analysis probes several explanations for thatpartisan change: generational replacement, conversion, and mobilization.The findings rule out conversion, give some support to mobilization,but emphasize the historically unique surge toward the GOP amongthe young since 1980. This break with the parental partisanlegacy signals the prospect of a party realignment through generationalreplacement. |
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