| 广西金融发展与经济增长的VAR系统实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗力强,李彦,李俊强. 广西金融发展与经济增长的VAR系统实证研究[J]. 西安石油大学学报(社会科学版), 2013, 0(6): 11-19,40 |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗力强 李彦 李俊强 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]广西大学行健文理学院,广西南宁530005 [2]广西财经学院金融与保险学院,广西南宁530003 [3]南宁职业技术学院商学院,广西南宁530008 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西大学行健文理学院科研基金项目（2012RSLX10）;广西壮族自治区教育厅科研资助项目（201012MS243）. |
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| 摘 要： | 利用广西1982-2011年的经济数据研究广西金融发展与经济的关系.结果显示：广西金融发展与金融机构贷款余额的相关性较大,而与金融相关率和金融机构存款余额的相关性较弱.但广西的GDP相对金融相关率、金融机构存款余额和贷款余额的变化只有微弱的影响.同时金融机构贷款余额、存款余额和金融相关率的变化都是GDP变化的格兰杰原因,但反之却都不成立.以上研究对于制定广西“十二五”时期经济发展目标具有重要的指导意义.
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| 关 键 词： | 金融发展 经济增长 金融相关率 VAR模型 VEC模型 |
An Empirical Research on VAR System of Financial Development and Economic Growth in Guangxi Province |
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| LUO Liqiang,LI Yan,LI Junqiang. An Empirical Research on VAR System of Financial Development and Economic Growth in Guangxi Province[J]. Journal of Xi‘an Shiyou University:Social Science Edition, 2013, 0(6): 11-19,40 |
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| Authors: | LUO Liqiang LI Yan LI Junqiang |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Xingjian College of Science and Liberal Arts, Guangxi University, Guangxi, Nanning, 530005, China ; 2. School of Finance and Insurance, Guangxi University of Finance and Economics, Guangxi, Nanning,530003, China; 3. Business School,NanNing Vocational ＆ Technical College , Guangxi,Nanning ,530008, China) |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between regional financial development and economic growth of Guangxi prov- ince is studied based on the economic data of 1982 -2011 in Guangxi. The results show that Guangxi financial development has closer relevance to the loan balance of financial institution, but has less relevance to the fi- nance correlation rate and the deposit balance of financial institutions. However, Guangxi GDP is slightly influ- enced compared with the changes of finance rate, deposit and loan balance of financial institutions. Mean- while, finance rate, deposit and loan balance of financial institutions are all the Granger reasons of GDP varia- tion, but the opposite is not reasonable. The above study is of instructive significance in the establishment of e- conomic development goals during the period of 12th five -year plan in Guangxi province. |
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| Keywords: | financial development economic growth financial relevant rate vector auto -regression （VAR） VAR model |
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