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Simultaneous Equation Systems With Heteroscedasticity: Identification,Estimation, and Stock Price Elasticities
Authors:George Milunovich  Minxian Yang
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2109, Australia (george.milunovich@mq.edu.au);2. School of Economics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia (m.yang@unsw.edu.au)
Abstract:We give a set of identifying conditions for p-dimensional (p ≥ 2) simultaneous equation systems (SES) with heteroscedasticity in the framework of Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood (QML). Our conditions rely on the presence of heteroscedasticity in the data rather than identifying restrictions traditionally employed in the literature. The QML estimator is shown to be consistent for the true parameter point and asymptotically normal. Monte Carlo experiments indicate that the QML estimator performs well in comparison to the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator in finite samples, even when the conditional variance is mildly misspecified. We analyze the relationship between traded stock prices and volumes in the setting of SES. Based on a sample of the Russell 3000 stocks, our findings provide new evidence against perfectly elastic demand and supply schedules for equities.
Keywords:Asymptotics  Demand and supply for equities  Endogeneity  Multivariate structural models  Quasi maximum likelihood  Stock prices and volumes
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