决策支持理论研究

本文提出了开环与闭环决策系统的概念,在此基础上初步讨论了决策支持理论,并提出了决策支持系统工程与系统集成的研究框架。在决策科学中,现在绝大部分的研究工作集中在对开环决策系统的研究上,这对于研究决策与决策支持是必须的,但这还远不够,如果要真正提高决策及决策支持的有效性,就必须研究闭环决策系统,必须把决策问题识别与求解放在统一的框架中进行研究。

RESEARCH OF DECISION SUPPORT THEORY

This paper proposes the concepts of topen-loop decision system (OLDS) and close-loop decision system (CLDS),primarily discusses decision support theory (DST) and adaptive decision support,then outlines the research frameworks of decision support system engineering (DSSE) and decision support system integration (DSSI). This paper pointed out that the majority of researches have focused on OLDS,which is necessary to study decisionmaking and decision support, but not enough. If we want to enhance the effectiveness of decisionmaking and decision support, we should research into CLDS,study decision problem recognization and solving in the unified framework of decision system.