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A Variance Estimator for Systematic Sampling from a Deliberately Ordered Population
Abstract:ABSTRACT

The systematic sampling (SYS) design (Madow and Madow, 1944 Madow , L. H. , Madow , W. G. ( 1944 ). On the theory of systematic sampling . Ann. Math. Statist. 15 : 124 .Crossref] Google Scholar]) is widely used by statistical offices due to its simplicity and efficiency (e.g., Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293303 .Crossref], Web of Science ®] Google Scholar]). But it suffers from a serious defect, namely, that it is impossible to unbiasedly estimate the sampling variance (Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293303 .Crossref], Web of Science ®] Google Scholar]) and usual variance estimators (Yates and Grundy, 1953 Yates , F. , Grundy , P. M. ( 1953 ). Selection without replacement from within strata with probability proportional to size . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Series B 1 : 253261 . Google Scholar]) are inadequate and can overestimate the variance significantly (Särndal et al., 1992 Särndal , C. E. , Swenson , B. , Wretman , J. H. ( 1992 ). Model Assisted Survey Sampling . New York : Springer-Verlag , Ch. 3 .Crossref] Google Scholar]). We propose a novel variance estimator which is less biased and that can be implemented with any given population order. We will justify this estimator theoretically and with a Monte Carlo simulation study.
Keywords:Inclusion probabilities  π-estimator  Unequal probability sampling  Weighted least squares
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