| Abstract: | Abstract The present paper develops an “Erlangization” method for fluid queues. It then applies the results we derive to a forestry problem: the evolution of an uncontrolled fire perimeter over time. Specifically, we focus on the probability of containing a fire prior to reaching a randomly distributed, finite time horizon. Transitions to lower non-zero levels are also investigated. A preliminary model is introduced to demonstrate the potential of the application, and numerical results are given for illustrative purposes. |
