| 嵌入知识的综合集成预测方法及其在企业收益额预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王晶高,建设,宁宣熙. 嵌入知识的综合集成预测方法及其在企业收益额预测中的应用[J]. 北京理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2009, 11(2): 61-63 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王晶高 建设 宁宣熙 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院, 南京 210016 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对企业收益额预测，提出了一种嵌入知识的综合集成预测方法。首先，基于系统思想，提出了嵌入知识的人-机交互式综合集成预测方法框架；进而重点介绍了集成预测方法中的信息预处理、预测模型选择、效果检验等关键子模块；最后，以某公司的收益额预测为例，验证了其有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 嵌入知识 模型 收益额 |
| 收稿时间： | 2008-12-23 |
Integrated Forecast Method with Embedded Knowledge and its Application in Business Income Forecast |
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| WANG Jing,GAO Jian-she and NING Xuan-xi. Integrated Forecast Method with Embedded Knowledge and its Application in Business Income Forecast[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition), 2009, 11(2): 61-63 |
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| Authors: | WANG Jing GAO Jian-she NING Xuan-xi |
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| Affiliation: | 1.College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 210016 |
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| Abstract: | This paper put forward an integrated forecast method.First,the framework for integrated forecast method with embedded knowledge is developed based on the thoughts of system engineering.Then,some key modules of intelligent forecast system,such as information preprocessor,selecting forecasting model,and verifying forecasting precision,are illuminated in detail.Finally,its validity is demonstrated with a forecasting of a listed company. |
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| Keywords: | forecast embedded knowledge model income |
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