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A theoretically-consistent empirical model of non-expected utility: An application to nuclear-waste transport
Authors:Mary Riddel  W Douglass Shaw
Institution:(1) Economics Dept., University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV, 89154-6005;(2) Department of Agricultural Economics and Department of Recreation, Parks and Tourism Sciences, TAMU 2124, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, 77843-6005
Abstract:Few theoretically-consistent empirical models addressing the relationship between ambiguity, risk, and preferences for health and safety exist. To fill this gap, we propose a theoretical non-expected-utility model (NEUM) that is relatively easy to estimate using an interval-data model. The NEUM we develop hinges upon two sources of variability, one over risk and the other over ambiguity about the risk. Using data from a survey of Nevada residents concerning risks from nuclear-waste transport, we provide individual-specific welfare estimate for a risk increase. Our findings suggest that negative externalities from nuclear-waste transport perceived risks and ambiguity may be substantial. JEL Codes D81 · D62 · Q53 · Q51
Keywords:Expected utility  Risk and uncertainty  Ambiguity  Nuclear-waste transport
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