商品住宅投资与商用房投资互引关系:基于VAR模型的实证

商品住宅投资与商用房投资作为当前我国房地产开发投资中的两个重要板块,无论是在投资总量还是投资结构上都存在相互引致的关系,实证得出了二者互引关系的确存在,但互引的敏感性有差别、互引关系有一定的持续效应、互引投资量存在均衡关系等结论.将这一互引关系的机理运用于当前房地产调控和保障性住房建设等领域,提出相关政策建议.

The Mutual Induce Relationship Between Residential Real Estate Investment and Commercial Real Estate Investment:An Empirical Study Based on VAR Model

This paper presents a mutually induce mechanism between residential real estate investment and commercial real estate investment.And then?through the empirical studies,we can make the following conclusions: the mutually induce relationship between the two kind of investment exist but the sensitivity of the induce relationship is different;to some extent,there existing the sustained effect in this mutual relationship and it also exist the equilibrium relationship in mutual induce investment.And on that basis,this paper proposes some suggestions to apply this mutual induce relationship.