长三角服务业的增长差异：基于份额—偏离分析法

运用份额—偏离分析法,考察了长三角地区15个城市服务业及其内部结构性增长的动态过程.结果显示,长三角地区服务业发展还处于以上海为核心的"极化"阶段,其他城市的相对份额处于下降中;从服务业内部结构的动态变化看,消费性服务业规模大,但增长势头趋缓,属于"成熟行业";生产性服务业增长势头旺盛,逐步成为主导行业,属于"成长行业";公共物品性服务业和准公共物品性服务业是增长相对缓慢的行业,属于"衰退行业".

The Growth Variation of Service Industry in the Yangtze River Delta by the Analysis of Share Shift Method

Using Share-Shift method, this paper explores the growth variation of both aggregate and structure of service industry among 15 cities in Yangtze River Delta. And the results show that, the service industry in Yangtze River Delta is in the process of spatial agglomeration and Shanghai City is the core area in the region, which dwarfs the growth rates of other cities. We also find that, consumer service sector can be defined as the mature sector in view of its large scale but relative low growth rate, and producer service sector can be termed as the growing sector due to its rapid growth rate and ever-increasing scale, while public service and semi-public service sectors being called as declining sector for their rather low growth rates.