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A generalized linear model approach to seasonal aspects of wind speed modeling
Authors:Alain Bensoussan  Pierre Bertrand
Institution:1. School of Management, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX, USA;2. Department SEEM, Hong-Kong City University, Hong Kong;3. Laboratoire de Mathématiques, UMR CNRS 6620, Université Clermont-Ferrand 2, Clermont-Ferrand, France
Abstract:The aim of the article is to identify the intraday seasonality in a wind speed time series. Following the traditional approach, the marginal probability law is Weibull and, consequently, we consider seasonal Weibull law. A new estimation and decision procedure to estimate the seasonal Weibull law intraday scale parameter is presented. We will also give statistical decision-making tools to discard or not the trend parameter and to validate the seasonal model.
Keywords:generalized linear models  maximum likelihood estimation  seasonality  Weibull law  wind speed time series
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