FDI对我国经济增长的实证分析

就外商直接投资(FD I)对我国经济增长的影响这一焦点问题,国内学者从定性采用多指标和从定量使用传统的基于普通最小二乘法(O LS)下的计量经济模型两个方面进行了比较详尽的研究。本文在现有文献基础上进行了尝试性创新,使用O LS法进行回归分析时,考虑了数据的平稳性问题,进行了数据的平稳性检验,并运用科克伦-奥克特(C ochrane-O rcutt法)方法纠正了可能存在的虚假回归现象,从而使估计结果更加稳健,结论也更加合理。

An Empirical Analysis on FDI to China''''s Economic Growth

As to the focal subject about the influence of FDI on China's economic growth, domesticscholars have made detailed studies in two aspects: either in qualitative analysis adopting multiple targets orin quantitative analysis adopting traditional econometric models based on OLS. This paper tries to make aninnovation on the basis of available documents. When it makes regression analysis by using the method ofOLS, it considers the data stability and conducts the data stability test. It uses Cochrane- Orcutt method andcorrects the possible phenomenon of dummy regression able to make the estimated result more stable and theconclusion more reasonable.