中国省际资本存量估算

 资本存量估算的准确与否关系到许多相关研究结果的准确性，深入探讨其估计方法具有重要意义。本文对各类统计资料中大量的基础数据进行了细致的分析、筛选和处理；对已有相关研究中折旧率和基期资本存量的确定方法进行了改进：根据资本产出比变化规律确定基期资本存量；将资本分为建筑安装工程和设备工器具购置两类，分别设定折旧率、用永续盘存法估算资本存量，然后相加得出总的资本存量。根据所估算的资本存量计算的各省区的资本产出比较为合理，因而所估算的资本存量是可信的、比较准确的。

The Estimation of China's Provincial Capital Stock

This paper carefully analyses and deals with large numbers of basic data in many kinds of statistical yearbooks, and improves the method of ascertaining the base-year capital stock and the depreciation rate. The base-year capital stock is ascertained according to changes of the capital-GDP ratio. The capital is divided into that of architecture installation project and equipment purchase. Two depreciation rates are assumed respectively in estimating two kinds of the capitals. Then two kinds of the capitals are added to obtain the total capital. The estimated provincial capital stock is creditable and exact.