失业率、年龄结构与人口迁移率的相关性研究

用定性与定量相结合的方法，从理论及实践两种角度，对影响人口迁移的主要因素进行了分析，指出：人口年龄结构及失业率是人口迁移率大小的决定因素。在此基础上，对影响我国人口迁移的相关性因素进行了分析，并对 21世纪我国人口的迁移做了预测。     

甘肃省人才问题研究

本文对近10年来甘肃省人才状况进行了简要总结和分析.通过对人才总量及相对存量、人才的地区分布、人才的行业、职业构成以及科技、教育(主要是师资)状况的分析,就我省人才现状及存在的问题进行了剖析,并指出了症结所在.     

提高安徽省人口文化素质的思路与对策

安徽省经济基础薄弱,教育投入不足,办学条件差,教育事业总体上比较落后,导致安徽省人口,尤其是劳动人口文化素质偏低,严重地制约了安徽省经济的发展。针对安徽省教育存在的问题和人口文化素质的实际状况,结合省情省力和"科教兴皖"战略,提出优先发展教育,包括适应市场经济的需要,调整教育结构;增大政府教育投入,并建立多渠道筹措教育经费的新体制;巩固和发展农村基础教育,优化农村教育结构;加强师资培训,建设一支高素质的教师队伍等可行性的对策与建议。     

The Importance of the Geographic Level of Analysis in the Assessment of the Quality of Life: The Case of Spain

There is a growing literature on the assessment of quality of life conditions in geographically and/or politically divided regions. Sometimes these territories are countries within a specified supranational structure, such as the European Union, for instance, and sometimes they are regions within countries. There is also some research that focuses on the municipal level of analysis, measuring the quality of life in cities. In the end what the researcher obtains is, at best, an average of the living conditions in the specified territory. However, if results are intended to have policy implications, attention should be paid to the variance in living conditions within regions. In this paper we attempt to quantify the relative importance of three different geographic levels of analysis in assessing the quality of life of the Spanish population. The geo-political division in Spain consists firstly of regions called Comunidades Autónomas, which are then divided into provinces which in turn are divided into municipalities. We are interested in evaluating the extent to which the quality of life conditions of an average person living in a given municipality are explained by the province and region in which the municipality is located. To do so, we first construct a composite indicator of quality of life (QoL) for the 643 largest municipalities of Spain using 19 variables which are weighted using Value Efficiency Analysis (VEA). VEA is a refinement of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) that imposes some consistency on the weights of the indicators used to construct the aggregate index. The indicators cover aspects related to consumption, social services, housing, transport, environment, labour market, health, culture and leisure, education and security. We then make a variance decomposition of the VEA scores to assess the importance of the three levels of geo-political administration. The results show that the municipal level is the most important of these, accounting for 52% of the variance in QoL. Regions explain 38% while provinces only account for a moderate 10%. Therefore, political action at the regional and municipal level would seem to have a larger impact on QoL indicators.     

对我国人口城市化道路的思考

加快我国人口城市化的发展,对推动我国社会经济的进一步发展具有十分重要的作用。中国走什么样的人口城市化发展道路一直是一个很重要又争论不休的问题。本文通过对我国城市发展方针的反思,提出了我国应走以规模扩大式为主的人口城市化道路。     

Effects of the timing of marriage and first birth of the spacing of subsequent births

Analyzing data from a fifteen-year follow-up survey of high school students originally surveyed in 1957–58 and resurveyed in 1973–74, this paper examines the effects of the timing of marriage and first birth on subsequent child spacing, holding constant the effects of other variables that may be sources of spuriousness. The results suggest that age at first marriage has a causal effect on the occurrence of a short first birth interval and that age at first marriage and premarital pregnancy interact in their effect on the occurrence of a short second birth interval. Age at first marriage has no causal effect on the spacing of the second birth for those whose first child was maritally conceived. The spacing of the first birth, however, appears to have a causal effect on the spacing of the second.     

Examination of the status of health of population in Poland

"This article presents sources of information about the health status of the Polish population...; the number and causes of deaths, the morbidity due to more important diseases and average life expectancy.... At the same time this situation is compared with those in some European countries."     

人口老龄化中的中国国情

中国在人口生育政策的直接作用下,以急刹车的方式迅速地完成了人口类型的转变并步入了人口老龄化的行列,在此前提下本文试图着重阐述和强调:中国人口老龄化的形成较之发达国家相比有根本的不同,因此涉及人口老龄化中的诸多问题必然显示出差异性,表现出明显的中国国情。充分认识这个国情,才能从宏观上不失时机地把握好我国经济发展进程和人口老龄化进程的关系,才能有利有节的解决好历史进程中中国人口老龄化中的诸多问题。     

Estimates of the number of illegal aliens: An analysis of the sources of disagreement

This article analyzes differences in estimates of the number of illegal aliens in the United States. Although smaller than differences among estimates made by some of the earlier studies, estimates constructed in the past decade often differ by several million. An examination of the problems involved in making these estimates produced four likely sources of the discrepancies. The four sources of disagreement are discussed, followed by suggestions for improving the reliability of the estimates. Some consequences for immigration law reform are also addressed.     

The Impact of the Use of Energy Sources on the Quality of Life of Poor Communities

Over the last few decades, the energy literature has been dominated by a theory of transition. The theory of transition is based on the notion that households gradually ascend an ‘energy ladder’, which begins with traditional biomass fuels (firewood and charcoal), moves through modern commercial fuels (kerosene and liquid petroleum gas (LPG)) and culminates with the advent of electricity. The ascent of the ‘energy body’, though not fully understood, is thought to be associated with rising income and increasing levels of urbanisation. Empirical evidence on energy and poverty issues has been to suggest that reality is rather more complex than the simple transitional theory would appear to suggest. To choose an appropriate set of indicators to measure the impact of electrification, this paper takes three basic different perspectives on human welfare, namely, basic needs, monetary, and non-monetary into consideration. According to the basic needs approach, welfare relates to people’s ability to satisfy their basic material needs. In the monetary approach it is a generally accepted view that the purchasing power of the household provides the best overall indicator of welfare. According to the non-monetary approach there has been a trend towards complementing economic measures of deprivation with non-monetary measures to obtain a multidimensional view of human well being, particularly by tracking health and education indicators. In the rest of the paper the two primary research projects conducted in two provinces in South Africa, namely KwaZulu-Natal and Limpopo, will be discussed. The one research project is still in process. However, the methodology will be discussed. In this project a comparison will be made of households’ experiences in villages with and without electricity to see if and to what extent electrification contributed to the welfare of the communities. In the second project households were interviewed about their experiences in the use of paraffin as source of energy.     

老龄住宅相关问题初探

随着我国进入老龄化社会,老龄住宅的需求市场日益扩大。我国对老龄住宅有特有的需求特点,我国老龄住宅发展面临一定的瓶颈,推动我国老龄住宅开发需要采取相应的措施。     

多中心协同反贫困治理体系研究--以滇西北边境山区为例

精准解决连片特困地区贫困问题是中华民族实现小康走向伟大复兴的关键，要实现这一目标，需要从扶贫治理的理论和实践两方面进行创新。在对传统的反贫困治理模式进行了分析，挖掘传统扶贫治理模式“家长式”、“政府独揽”及“责任独担”的“单中心”政府包办模式的弊病，本文以多中心治理理论为分析工具，结合滇西边境山区扶贫治理现状，提出构建以地方政府为扶贫开发主体，非营利组织、国际和本土扶贫NGO、社会组织、个人及政府内部各部门间共同协作的多中心协同反贫困治理体系及实施的对策与建议。该体系的提出有助于丰富我国本土反贫困治理理论，拓宽政府反贫困治理模式的视野，以加速实现特困地区的脱贫。     

Development of urban centres on the western and northern territories of Poland--an attempt of recapitulation by means of the settlement system of Poland

The authors discuss the development of urban areas in western and northern Poland since the 1930s. Sections are included on the development of towns under the German settlement system; changes during military operations between 1939 and 1945; inclusion of towns into the Polish urban system; and prospects of future development.     

An evaluation of demographers' use of ethnographies

A survey of papers reporting the use of ethnographies in three population journals and an examination of two case studies show that the criticisms made by anthropologists and others of demographers' use of ethnographies are well founded. In their use of these accounts, demographers tend to present an excessively static view of social organization, to use ethnographic evidence selectively to support other findings, to be indifferent to how long ago an ethnography was produced, to take for granted the validity of the ethnographic evidence, to ignore the broader historical context in which the ethnography was produced, and to be unaware of the ways in which demographic evidence can be used at all stages of the research process. The adoption of anthropologists' suggestions for establishing the plausibility and credibility of ethnographic evidence could improve the value of the contribution made by these studies to demographic research and theory.     

云南人口机会窗口与人口红利收获研究

该文首先分析了云南人口机会窗口的特征和给社会经济发展带来的潜在机遇,第二部分指出由于劳动就业压力、资本市场不健全和老龄化问题突出等阻碍着我们获取人口红利,最后对收获人口红利的支撑体系进行了简要探讨。     

城镇化进程中农业转移人口 市民化的健康效应分析

农业转移人口健康状况关系着中国劳动力质量和生产效率及健康中国战略的实施。本文采用CLDS(2014)调查数据探讨城镇化进程中农业转移人口市民化的健康效应,考虑市民化与健康水平之间可能存在的内生性关系,使用IV Ordered Probit模型进行分析。研究发现农业转移人口市民化显著提升了农业转移人口的健康水平。市民化水平的提高代表农业转移人口可享受城市基本公共服务及社会福利的增加,对健康有促进作用。从健康方面看,农业转移人口市民化促进了总体健康、精神健康、活力、生理功能、情感功能和躯体活动功能。从产业角度看,对比第二产业从业的农业转移人口,第三产业从业的农业转移人口市民化的健康效应更显著,说明对产业工人的职业健康保护力度不够,应加快产业升级,减少或避免劳动者的危险或重复劳动。个体差异是影响农业转移人口市民化健康效应的一个重要因素,从个体差异的起点(教育程度)和个体差异的终点(收入水平)看,教育程度高、收入水平高的农业转移人口市民化的健康效应更显著。户籍制度(尤其是隐藏其背后的社会福利差异)极大地削弱了农业转移人口市民化的健康效应。基于农业转移人口的市民化程度和自身的健康状况的正相关关系,要想改善转移人口的健康状况,实现"健康中国"的目标,应该进一步推进城镇化进程,提高农业转移人口市民化水平;切实落实国务院关于进一步推进户籍制度改革的意见;持续对农村地区及偏远地区加大教育投资,改善教育质量,提高农村地区人口的教育水平。     

Analysis of components of demographic change

"There exist a number of approaches to analysis of the components of difference between demographic rates using standardization techniques. A generalization of some of these methods, for an arbitrary number of components and an arbitrary analytical function of them, is shown to be the theoretically best choice when the analytical function is linear in each of the components and when linear change is assumed for each of the components. Also, a very close approximation to an exact decomposition for the most general case can be obtained when dealing with change over time and time series data are available."     

Cross cultural comparisons of quality of life of Thais and Americans

Comparisons of quality of life (QOL) measures across cultures of countries in different stages of economic development have been very scarce. This study attempts to fill the void in the literature by investigating the level of overall life satisfaction and satisfaction with various domains of lives of Thais and Americans. Additionally, the relationships between satisfaction with domains of life and overall life satisfaction in each culture have been explored. The results of this study indicate that Thais are less satisfied with their lives in general and most of the domains of their lives than Americans. However, both Thais and Americans tend to be more satisfied with their personal domains of lives than environmental domains of lives. In addition, satisfaction with material possessions is found to contribute significantly to overall life satisfaction of Thais but not Americans. This suggests that material wealth or economic development is still a vital mechanism for enhancing QOL of people in Thailand, but is not important for enhancing QOL of people in the U.S.     

Features of the demography of Palestine

The objections which Dr Bromberger raises against official vital statistics in Palestine are considered by the author in this paper, and Dr Bromberger's methods of estimation are carefully examined. While defects in the statement of ages and some under-registration of Moslem deaths are admitted, the conclusion is reached that there is no inherent inconsistency in the published figures, and that any errors would not affect the differential rates of growth of the Arab and Jewish populations.