企业员工职业成长研究:量表编制和效度检验

本文构建并检验了职业成长四维结构模型,开发了员工职业成长测量量表。在文献研究的基础上,分析了职业成长与相关概念之间的联系与差异。采用访谈、半结构化问卷获取原始数据,结合国外相关研究量表,经归类、汇总和预试修订等多个步骤确定职业成长初始量表。通过项目分析、探索性因素分析等方法筛选确定正式量表,运用验证性因素分析验证了职业成长的四维结构模型。实证研究发现,员工职业成长是个四因素构想,包括职业目标进展、职业能力发展、晋升速度和报酬增长。论文还对继续深入开展员工职业成长研究提出了几点展望。     

年轻干部如何既“干得好”又“混得好”

当下,年轻干部想要实现自我职业空间的持续拓展,除了强化业绩"干得好",还需要提升自我融入不同圈层的能力,即"混得好"。这就要求年轻干部必须情商智商双高,应变进退得当,自我优势突出,融入能力显著。为此,年轻干部需要进一步强化自我"内功"修炼,秉持适度的包容之心,学习认知和掌控情绪,妥善处理多重关系。     

自我职业生涯管理对职业决策质量的作用机制

本文采用人岗匹配来衡量职业决策质量,分析自我职业生涯管理、职业自我概念对员工职业选择与决策过程中实现人岗匹配的作用。以611名企业员工为研究对象,运用分层回归与结构方程模型的方法进行实证分析。研究发现:自我职业生涯管理对职业自我概念有正向的显著影响;员工工作流动前的自我职业生涯管理对工作流动后的人岗匹配具有正向的显著影响;员工工作流动前的职业自我概念对工作流动后的人岗匹配具有正向的显著影响;员工职业自我概念在自我职业生涯管理对人岗匹配的影响中起到部分中介作用。     

多层次员工离职维度实证研究——以江苏某船舶有限公司为例

通过对江苏某船舶有限公司员工离职情况的调查,利用层次分析法对影响员工离职维度进行实证分析。结果显示,工作压力和报酬公平是影响生产车间和职能部门员工离职的主要维度,职业成长度和组织承诺是影响技术部门和管理层员工离职的关键维度。企业整体员工离职分析,职业成长度、报酬公平、组织承诺和企业文化是导致员工离职行为的主要维度。工作压力和个人因素也是导致员工离职的维度不显著。     

能者多言:员工建言的一个权变模型

采用问卷调查方式收集了67名领导与其357名下属的配对样本,从员工能力展现的视角探讨了教育水平、管理开放性认知和建设性变革责任感3个变量对员工建言的直接效应和交互效应。研究结果表明,教育水平、管理开放性认知和建设性变革责任感都对员工建言存在显著的预测效应。另外,教育水平和管理开放性认知、教育水平和建设性变革责任感也都对员工建言存在显著的交互效应影响,当管理开放性认知更高或建设性变革责任感更高时,教育水平与员工建言间的关系也显得更强。研究结论有助于从能力视角来理解员工建言的影响因素以及影响的边界条件,具有相当的理论和现实意义。     

职业成长与离职倾向:职业承诺与感知机会的调节作用

本文构建了职业成长对离职倾向的关系模型,实证分析了职业成长对离职倾向的作用机理。识别了职业成长与离职倾向关系中的两个重要调节变量,即职业承诺和感知机会。通过对九个城市961名企业员工的调查,采用回归分析处理数据,研究结果表明:职业成长对离职倾向具有很好的预测作用,职业成长四个因素对离职倾向均存在显著的影响;职业目标进展与职业能力发展交互作用于离职倾向;职业承诺越高的员工,他们对自身的职业能力发展、晋升速度越加关注,更可能会因为职业能力发展受限和晋升速度缓慢而产生高的离职倾向;随着员工感知机会的增加,职业成长对离职倾向的预测作用逐渐增强。     

“90后”员工行为特征分析与管理策略——基于自我决定理论视角

"90后"员工居高不下的离职率和"闪辞""裸辞"现象的频频出现让管理者感到困惑。通过对"90后"员工在职场中所表现出的典型行为特征进行客观分析,梳理产生该特征的社会背景、家庭环境、教育条件和科技发展等影响因素,基于自我决定理论,找到"90后"的职业特征与能力、自主和关系需要的内在联系,进一步探究"90后"员工的管理策略与方法,从不同的需求层面为"90后"员工提供更多成长和发展的空间。     

老字号员工工匠精神量表开发与验证研究

采用探索性因子分析、验证性因子分析等多种统计方法,基于老字号企业情境开发了老字号员工工匠精神测量量表,并通过构建“老字号员工工匠精神—自我价值感—工作投入”概念模型验证了该量表的外部效度。研究结果表明：老字号员工工匠精神是老字号员工在劳动过程中实现价值和理想的职业价值观;老字号员工工匠精神的测量量表包括笃志敬业、精益求精和不屈不挠3个主题维度和9个题项,且具有良好的信度和效度;老字号员工工匠精神及其3个维度均正向影响员工自我价值感和工作投入,自我价值感在老字号员工工匠精神及其3个维度与工作投入之间起部分中介作用。     

动态职业环境下职业成长与组织承诺的关系

选取感知机会来描述企业员工所处的职业环境,研究动态职业环境下职业成长对组织承诺的影响机理.通过对9个城市961位企业员工进行问卷调查,采用验证性因素分析、相关分析、多元回归进行实证分析.研究发现:员工职业成长4个维度对情感承诺具有正向影响,并共同解释情感承诺40%的变异;除职业能力发展外,职业成长其余3个维度对持续承诺...     

企业员工心理弹性与工作倦怠的关系

本文采用心理弹性问卷和工作倦怠量表，对500名企业员工进行了调查。结果显示：员工的心理弹性与工作倦怠呈显著负相关；员工的心理弹性的自我认知、人际关系、积极心态和目标定位四个因子，对工作倦怠具有显著预测力。     

A DEA Framework to Assess the Efficiency of the Software Requirements Capture and Analysis Process*

In this paper a theoretical framework to assess the efficiency of the Requirements Capture and Analysis (RCA) process in software development is introduced. Although it is widely recognized that successful implementation of the first stages of the software development process is critical for the overall development process, RCA efficiency assessments have not been given much attention. The presented theoretical framework to assess RCA efficiency follows a production approach to model the early stages of a software project. An approach based on Data Envelopment Analysis that utilizes the proposed framework to isolate the effects of exogenous factors, such as the environment or the type of project, on the project's RCA efficiency is also presented. Finally, the applicability of the methodology through an exploratory empirical study is demonstrated, and managerial implications are discussed.     

《南开管理评论》1998-2002年被引分析研究

本文运用CSSCI统计了《南开管理评论》1998年至2002年被引情况,对该刊在被引数量、被引著者及分布、被引文献来源期刊等方面进行了分析,通过计算CSSCI收录的所有管理学期刊的被引总篇次、影响因子及即年指标等数据,分析了《南开管理评论》在管理学期刊中的学术影响和地位。     

Predicting the Winner's Curse

If quantity uncertainty exists in a first price auction that specifies a fixed bid, a participant must answer two questions when evaluating a candidate bid: “What are my chances of winning?” and “What is the effect of the winner's curse on my quantity estimate?” The winner's curse is the tendency of the winner of a first-price sealed-bid auction to be the bidder that most overvalues the items being offered. When value uncertainty is due to quantity uncertainty, the winner's curse implies that the bidder that most overestimates the quantity tends to win. Thus, if there is quantity uncertainty, a participant must adjust its bid for this tendency to overestimate quantities. This paper presents an empirical method to answer the above questions by estimating a predictive distribution of the highest competing bid and the quantity bias caused by the winner's curse. The method is developed for timber auctions but is general to auctions where a fixed bid is called for and there is uncertainty in the mix and quantities of items being offered. An example that uses data from timber auctions is used to demonstrate the method.     

企业经营管理预警：主成分分析在logistic回归方法中的应用

logistic回归分析是度量企业信用风险的一种主流方法,它的假设比较符合经济现实和金融数据分布的特点。但是考虑到现阶段我国上市公司的信用数据具有的高维性和高相关性等特点对logistic分析产生的负面影响,本文在logistic分析中引入了能够有效降维和消除logistic方程共线性等问题的主成分分析,并对我国沪深两市上市公司的经营失败进行了实证研究,结果表明结合主成分分析法的logistic回归分析在模型解释和预测准确率等力面均优于简单的logistic分析。     

供水调度中实现决策支持的方法研究

针对供水调度系统在决策支持方面的不足,本文提出利用SQL Server Analysis Services在OLAP及数据挖掘方面的技术,建立数据仓库、OLAP和数据挖掘三者相结合的决策支持系统的方案,讨论了基于Analysis Ser-vices实现供水调度决策支持系统的技术.     

Does IO Economics Really Make the Case for Investments in IT: Comment on West and Courtney

West and Courtney [18] rely on industrial organization economics in general, and the economics of uncertainty in particular, for insights into the benefits of overcoming information constraints through information systems (IS) and improved information technologies (IT). This Comment argues that the IS researcher who looks to the economics of uncertainty to make a case for improved IT will only find support from a selective reading of a constantly expanding literature whose aims and inferences are easily misunderstood.     

The Importance of Social Embeddedness: Churn Models at Mobile Providers

This article argues the importance of social embeddedness at mobile providers by examining the effects of customers’ network topological properties on churn probability—the probability of a customer switching from one telecommunication provider to another. This article uses data from regional snowball sampling—the only practically feasible network sampling method—to identify groups with significantly different churn ratios for customers with different network topological properties. Clear evidence indicates that individual network characteristics (node‐level metrics) have considerable impact on churn probabilities. The inclusion of network‐related measures in the churn model allows a longer‐term projection of churners and improves the predictive power of the model. With no possibility to carry out repeated sampling, sample stability was checked through simulation results. On the one hand, this article highlights the importance and effectiveness of the provider's tailored marketing campaigns by showing that customers targeted by direct marketing campaigns are less threatened by churn than nontargeted customers. On the other, this article shows that social embeddedness blocks the impact of the very same marketing efforts. This article forwards the idea that social embeddedness, also prevalent in vendor switching, can be extended to understanding the development of professional societies threatened by membership churn.     

韩国与其它外国直接投资在中国的比较分析和综合评价

本文主要对韩国与其它投资国家和地区在中国大陆直接投资进行对比分析和综合评价。采用秩和分析方法在全国、山东省、青岛市三个层次上对韩国、日本、美国、新加坡、香港和台湾的直接投资进行对比分析；采用多层次综合评价方法和主分量评价方法对上述四国和两地区的直接投资按照不同标准分别进行综合评价。研究结果对资本输入、输出双方皆有重要参考价值．     

Estimating Moments of Subjectively Assessed Distributions*

Moment‐matching discrete distributions were developed by Miller and Rice (1983) as a method to translate continuous probability distributions into discrete distributions for use in decision and risk analysis. Using gaussian quadrature, they showed that an n‐point discrete distribution can be constructed that exactly matches the first 2n ‐ 1 moments of the underlying distribution. These moment‐matching discrete distributions offer several theoretical advantages over the typical discrete approximations as shown in Smith (1993), but they also pose practical problems. In particular, how does the analyst estimate the moments given only the subjective assessments of the continuous probability distribution? Smith suggests that the moments can be estimated by fitting a distribution to the assessments. This research note shows that the quality of the moment estimates cannot be judged solely by how close the fitted distribution is to the true distribution. Examples are used to show that the relative errors in higher order moment estimates can be greater than 100%, even though the cumulative distribution function is estimated within a Kolmogorov‐Smirnov distance less than 1%.     

基于股权结构的财务危机预警模型构建

本文试图将公司股权结构变量引入到财务危机预警的研究中,首先运用Logistic回归分析对引入模型的变量进行了筛选,然后将筛选得到的变量进行主成分分析得到五个综合的变量,最后通过对五个综合的变量进行Fisher判别分析建立了一个上市公司的财务危机预警模型。本文选取的样本全部为上市工业企业,以期建立一个行业预警模型提高预警能力。结果表明,模型的预测能力较强。