“拯救”与“背叛”--《绿化树》、《男人的一半是女人》再解读

《绿化树》与《男人的一半是女人》,以人性最基本的构成部分食、性为透视角度,对主人公知识分子章永璘在苦难、饥馑的压迫下与非人的政治炼狱中,在本能驱动下真实的灵魂波动及人性堕落、精神毁损的悲剧进行了细致剖析。在“落难”这一特殊的生命情境中,“洛神”式的人物马缨花、黄香久对他进行了灵与肉的双重拯救,可知识分子的文化优越感和精神本能,又使他在重获新生后,必然会背叛他的“洛神”,去追求更高远的境界。这有关“拯救”与“背叛”的“阴暗记忆”,再现了时代重轭之下一代人的命运图景,勾勒了中国当代“落难精英”的历史剪影。     

我国家庭福利政策探究

在人口变迁与社会发展过程中,我国家庭规模逐渐缩小,传统的家庭功能已经受到严重冲击。因此,单纯地依靠家庭能力难以摆脱贫困、医疗、就业等困境。中国的家庭福利政策属于补缺型的家庭福利政策,应当尽快向普惠型和发展型转变：从发挥政府的主导作用,加强事前预防,投资家庭成员,扩大政策受益对象等方面重构家庭福利体系。     

农户生计策略识别及其动态转型

利用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2013和2015年两期调查数据,构建收入—资产指数识别了中国农户的生计策略及其跨期动态转型,并从生计阶梯的视角阐释了生计转型对贫困治理的意义。研究发现:(1)农户兼业化和生计多样化程度在不断提高;(2)低收益生计策略退出率和高收益生计策略进入率比较低,生计转型主要发生在中等收益的生计策略中,最终整个生计阶梯演化为“葫芦型”,是对“金字塔”型生计阶梯的一种改善;(3)农户家庭当期的生计策略选择对上一期生计策略具有显著的依赖性。自然资本、人力资本、社会资本和金融资本的积累显著促进了农户生计策略的向高收益流动,而物质资本中的农用固定资产所形成的沉没成本,其捆绑效应阻碍了农户的生计多样化。因此,现阶段扶贫政策应该对农户生计资本提供保障,防止各类外生冲击(包括政策、自然)对农户资产的侵蚀,降低农户生计策略向低收益流动或者单一化的风险。     

兰陵萧氏宗教信仰转变与时代变迁互动关系初探

兰陵萧氏是中国中古时期显赫的士大夫家族,历经梁、陈、隋、唐400余年,且始终活跃在这个时期上层社会的舞台上。文章对兰陵萧氏家族信仰的形成及变迁做初步探讨,力图揭示以兰陵萧氏为代表的中古士大代夫家族信仰的变迁与中国中古社会政治思想文化变动之间的互动关系。     

社会转型期弱势群体的利益表达机制探析

在20世纪90年代以来的社会转型过程中所形成的弱势群体,是和谐社会视角下的一个热点问题,也是十六届六中全会有关社会体制改革所关注的一个焦点.弱势群体的利益表达有利于政治稳定和社会和谐,有利于利益均衡和社会发展,也有利于实现社会的公平与正义.通过构建有效的弱势群体利益表达机制,使其能够拥有平等的利益表达权利,自主、理性、合法地进行利益表达,从而由权利均衡走向利益均衡,是促进弱势群体走出困境的一种有效制度安排.     

The Veils of Clio: Dimensions of a Behavioral Narratology

This paper outlines a behavior-analysis approach to the field of narratology, the study of the narrative or story, with emphasis on nonfiction stories and the processes by which such stories distort the world they describe. Stories are described in terms of (a) a behavior-analysis adaptation of Todorov''s (1977) analysis of the plots of stories in terms of states of equilibrium/disequilibrium and (b) Grant''s (2005) analysis of the structure of stories in terms of establishing operations and escape contingencies. These two sets of concepts are applied to understanding how and why stories lead to distortions of the events they report.     

State transition modeling of complex monitored health data

This article considers the analysis of complex monitored health data, where often one or several signals are reflecting the current health status that can be represented by a finite number of states, in addition to a set of covariates. In particular, we consider a novel application of a non-parametric state intensity regression method in order to study time-dependent effects of covariates on the state transition intensities. The method can handle baseline, time varying as well as dynamic covariates. Because of the non-parametric nature, the method can handle different data types and challenges under minimal assumptions. If the signal that is reflecting the current health status is of continuous nature, we propose the application of a weighted median and a hysteresis filter as data pre-processing steps in order to facilitate robust analysis. In intensity regression, covariates can be aggregated by a suitable functional form over a time history window. We propose to study the estimated cumulative regression parameters for different choices of the time history window in order to investigate short- and long-term effects of the given covariates. The proposed framework is discussed and applied to resuscitation data of newborns collected in Tanzania.     

绿色新政：欧洲走出危机的长期性、可持续计划

欧洲绿党所倡导的“绿色新政”，其目的在于实现在地球自然限制内带来经济繁荣、社会正义和生活幸福的经济社会的全面转型，而实现路径则依赖于对基础设施、工业产业、教育创新、社会聚合与自然环境等进行投资。由欧洲议会绿党党团委托支持、绿色智库“重构”完成的这一研究报告，试图构建一个相对不利环境下如何达到改变欧洲经济与社会状况的投资水平的金融体制。它认为，欧盟每年需将GDP的2%投资到2020年时实现CO2排放减少30%目标的工作中，并建议财源的主体应是私人投资，同时国家创造必需的激励和支持以吸引这些私人投资。     

走向一种绿色意识形态

与价值观不同，意识形态既是规范性的又是描述性的，或者说，既是价值评估性的也是知识追求性的。事实与价值之间的关系，被传统地以“二分法”的方式加以构建，实际上二者是一种互补关系，但这也并不意味着对矛盾关系的否认。一种建立在摆脱教条主义的唯物主义基础上的绿色理论，更有利于开展一种行之有效的实践，而这或许是绿色运动可以从马克思主义那里继承的最为重要的遗产。如果生态主义要想成为一种有影响的意识形态，就必须发展一种“绿色实践观”，创建“理论-实践”的统一体，并借助包含着价值考量在内的“中介”来跨越二者之间的鸿沟。     

Do military veteran and civilian students function differently in college?

Objective: The authors sought to assess military veterans' functioning in college by comparing their experience with that of civilian students. Participants: The study, conducted from April 2012 to February 2013, included 445 civilian and 61 student service member/veteran (SSM/V) undergraduates, drawn from a community college and two 4-year Catholic colleges, in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York. Methods: Participants completed anonymous online surveys. Six areas of functioning in transition to college were examined: Health, Fitting In, Emotional Adjustment, Productivity, Perceived Career Support, and Social Engagement. Results: Students, both SSM/V and civilian, with past exposure to a potentially traumatic event fit in worse than students without such exposure. Past exposure to trauma was associated with poorer emotional adjustment in civilian students, but not in SSM/V. Conclusions: Implications of results were discussed.