河北沿海强省建设中的人才支撑力研究

本文运用指标评价法,借助人才竞争力评价指标,通过与沿海省份对比,对河北省人才整体实力与竞争力作了分析与评价,并运用要素评价法对人才数量、人才质量、人才结构、人才活力、人才效能、人才发展潜力和可持续发展力、人才外部利用力等决定人才总体实力和竞争力的几个重要方面作了系统分析与评价。同时针对河北省人才综合实力在沿海省份中属于较弱省份的现实状况,建议以建设人才强省为目标,进一步大力实施人才强省战略,全面构筑建设沿海经济社会发展强省的人才支撑体系。     

Does the availability of child care influence the employment of mothers? Findings from western Germany

There is a vast empirical literature investigating the effects of child care costson female employment. Day-care costs are usually treated as a reduction infemale wages and are supposed to reduce a woman's propensity to participatein the labor market. In this paper we argue that an analysis of the effects ofchild care on the employment of mothers in Germany should focus on theavailability rather than the affordability of care, due to peculiarities of theGerman day-care regime. Our empirical findings cast doubt on the effectivenessof the current German day-care regime. Specifically, we question the extent towhich it enables mothers to participate in the labor market.     

Are all jobs created equal? A cross-national analysis of women's employment and child malnutrition in developing countries

Using multi-level models, the analysis examines female employment and child stunting across 49 developing countries. At the country level, female labor force participation is not associated with malnutrition after controlling for economic development. At the individual level, a binary measure of employment is not significantly associated with malnutrition. However, a more nuanced measure of seven occupational categories shows that certain types of employment improve malnutrition. Professional, clerical, sales, and domestic jobs are associated with reduced stunting. These effects are only partially mediated by wealth, perhaps suggesting that some jobs may bring benefits to the household beyond the sheer acquisition of tangible resources. Agricultural jobs are associated with increased malnutrition. Manual labor and service work do not have an effect on malnutrition, compared to unemployment. Thus, women's employment is not necessarily a mechanism for empowerment and wellbeing. Not all jobs are created equal, and many of them do not confer the benefits that are typically associated with working outside the home.     

论孙刘联盟的破坏——诸葛亮的失误之一

诸葛亮在《隆中对策》中确定了联吴抗曹、兴复汉室的方针 ,取得了赤壁之战的胜利 ,显示了孙刘联盟的生命力。但荆州的丢失和夷陵的惨败 ,既导致孙刘联盟的破坏 ,又导致诸葛亮偏师北伐的失败。在这点上 ,诸葛亮负有主要责任 ,成为他的严重失误之一     

基于Shapley值法的移动增值服务价值链利润分配模型

研究对象为任意节点连接和任意支撑的平面框架。一般梁单元由等截面直杆及其杆端的轴向弹簧、切向弹簧和转动弹簧组成，推导得到此类单元的刚度矩阵、单元在8种基本荷载作用下的等效节点荷载。采用Matlab语言编写了适用于一般节点非线性连接框架的静力分析程序，非线性形式为指数函数或多项式函数，可以得到结构不同连接刚度下的节点位移、杆端位移和杆端力。算例显示出节点柔度对结构受力和变形的影响。     

两晋之际吴兴沈氏考

吴兴武康沈氏是南朝最为活跃的南方土著家族 ,而其势力之崛起则可溯源至两晋之际。由于三吴文化高门在亡国后受到了沉重的打击 ,从而为地方土著豪强的兴起创造了条件。沈氏即在此时借其他豪强相互残杀之机登上了历史舞台     

A time series approach to life table construction

This paper deals with the construction of the life table. A discussion of basic facts about the life table is followed by the proposal of a nonstationary, autoregressive model for the life table. The moment structure of the nonstationary, autoregressive model is developed. Some estimation procedures are proposed followed by several examples.     

和谐工资：劳动价值，还是劳动力价值——与罗英、蒋南平两位同仁共同探讨

社会主义市场经济中的工资是劳动的价格,是劳动价值的表现形式,它应当以劳动的价值为基础,应当通过竞争过程形成.这样才算揭示了社会主义工资的特殊本质,才算说明了社会主义工资是"和谐工资",进而才能说明和谐社会,相反,用劳动力价值范畴就错解了社会主义工资的本质关系,这样既不能说明"和谐工资",又不能说明和谐社会,反而会诱发社会冲突.     

“民工荒”现象的经济学解释——基于劳动力供需双方知觉的分析

我国东南沿海地区出现的“民工荒”是有悖于经济学常理的现象,主要原因在于劳动力供需双方知觉上存在的偏差,导致劳动力价格上存在太大的差距。要解决“民工荒”问题,就必须从政府、企业及民工三方面着手,尽量缩小劳动力供需双方知觉上存在的偏差。     

中国未来劳动力就业趋势研究

本文采用联合国PDPM中的“就业量 -增加值”函数法对中国未来 2 5年(2 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 5年 )中第一、二、三产业劳动力的需求状况进行了预测 ,并与劳动力供给对比 ,发现中国的高失业状况至少要持续 2 0年时间。同时本文还深入分析了失业长期存在的原因