Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

论政府在农村社会养老保险制度中的财政责任

政府财政责任的缺失严重制约了我国农村社会养老保险制度的发展。从理论上分析并探讨政府应在农村社会养老保险制度中承担相应的财政责任，在介绍国际上典型国家农村社会养老保险制度中的财政责任经验的基础上，提出了重构我国政府在农村社会养老保险制度中的财政责任。     

关于完善学分制管理的几点思考

学分制是一种先进的教学管理体制。在教学管理上推行学分制 ,有利于发挥学生个性 ,拓宽学生的知识面 ,提高学生综合素质。但在目前我国高校的学分制教学管理中还存在不少问题。本文就如何改革和完善学分制教学管理提出了几点具体措施。     

我国医疗社会保险的体系及存在问题

随着中国加入WTO ,社会保障事业开始与世界接轨。其中的一个重要问题就是社会医疗保险制度的改革及确立。在建立和完善社会医疗保险制度的过程中 ,遇到很多问题 ,还有很多内容需要从理论和实践两方面进行探索。     

Deposit Insurance,Institutions, and Bank Interest Rates

Many recent institutional reforms of the financial system have relied on the introduction of an explicit scheme of deposit insurance. This instrument aims at two main targets, contributing to systemic stability and protecting depositors. However, it may also affect the interest rate spread in the banking system, which can be viewed as an indicator of either inefficiency or market power in this financial segment. This paper provides an empirical investigation of the effect of deposit insurance and other institutional and economic variables on bank interest rates across countries. We find that deposit insurance increases the lending–deposit spread in banking. The main effect seems to arise not from the deposit side though, but from an increase in the lending rate. We interpret this result as evidence of the presence of moral hazard problems related to this instrument. We also find that higher quality of institutions is associated with lower spreads, thus contributing to eroding sources of market power in the banking sector.     

商业银行非财务信用风险分析

传统的信用风险评估方法仅仅从贷款企业角度来评价商业银行所面临的信用风险,而且评价企业信用风险时,也集中在贷款企业的财务风险评价上,忽略了银行本身存、贷款结构和风险状况对信用风险的影响,造成了评估主体缺位。作为对众多文献的补充,从贷款企业非财务风险因素、银行风险因素和宏观经济环境风险因素三个方面进行了信用风险因素分析,完善了商业银行信用风险评估指标体系。     

政府信用缺失的原因分析

政府信用是整个社会信用体系的基石和源泉,起着表率和示范作用。当前政府存在的信用缺失问题,不仅已直接影响了政府的形象和公共管理的效能,而且也成为企业信用、个人信用缺失的重要原因。按照近代西方的社会契约理论,政府信用缺失的主要原因是权力异化的倾向和政治体制自身的因素。     

对欠发达地区农村信用社运行效率的分析

农村信用社改革及其运行效率是当前中国金融界的一个重要课题,农村信用社运行效率的高低依赖于改革的主导力量及其模式的具体选择。中国农村信用社已经历了多次在政府主导下进行的反反复复的体制性变迁,产权制度及治理结构问题未能得到有效解决,其运行效率较低。结合在江西若干县(区)的调查,对欠发达地区农村信用社运行效率进行了分析,并提出了提升农村信用社运行效率的对策建议。     

中韩出口产品的竞争程度分析

中国的出口将对周边国家包括韩国带来深远影响。中国和韩国的产品出口是否存在竞争关系,如何衡量中韩产品出口的竞争程度,是我们试图研究的主要问题。我们通过按技术构成对产品进行分类,并借鉴关志雄和Lall等人计算产品附加值的方法,比较分析了中国和韩国自20世纪80年代后期以来出口商品的结构变化。结果表明:中国和韩国的产业竞争程度并非表面显现的那么高,中国和韩国可以在国际分工的不同生产环节实现优势互补。     

我国股份制银行信贷失控现象研究

2001-2003年信贷扩张仍是股份制银行规模增长模式,五大特征暗含失控危机。从其主观特有的扩张、逐利、粉饰等动机及客观环境两个角度挖掘原因。鉴于其将对微观银行主体及宏观经济带来的恶果,对国有商业银行改制敲一记警钟。