日本经济长期低迷的金融因素分析

日本步入20世纪80年代经济发展缓慢,80年代末形成"泡沫经济",90年代初"泡沫"经济破裂至今,经济长期低迷。严重的经济衰退曾引发了金融财政危机,企业大量破产以及由此导致的失业剧增等一系列问题。从战后的高速发展到今天的经济困境,究其原因有很多,本文对导致日本经济低迷的金融因素———低利率政策,银行、企业、政府的铁三角关系等方面做出概括性的分析,并对我国在推行利率市场化的过程中所应从中得到的教训及启示做出了阐述。     

当代广告发展所面临的五大认识障碍——给来自广告业界内部的几个深层“思想问题”把脉

本文针对广告业长期存在的五个"思想问题"进行了分析,提出了广告业要重视练内功,要改善知识结构,要拓宽服务领域,提高广告经营水平,要改变短期行为等多种观点。认为广告业如果不能真正解决自身的问题,就无法应对国际广告资本的挑战。     

Getting There: The Unfolding Potential of Psychoanalysis, A Personal View

Even though psychoanalysis has the potential to free the mind it can also (however unwittingly) be used to bind it. This paradoxical tendency is especially noticeable in some psychoanalytic trainings, when students can be under pressures to comply with accepted theory and practice and, in some cases, to toe the line in their training analysis and/or in their supervised cases. We therefore have to be increasingly mindful of the ways in which our training of psychoanalytic students can foster a false extension of psychoanalysis, by which the practitioner can become bound to a theory rather than be freed by it.     

节约型高校建设与示范

节能减排已成为当代社会科学发展的主旋律。高校节约型校园建设是应＂两型校园建设＂的要求,并作为一项长期工作写入了多数高校总体规划中,实现节支和绿色生态校园的双赢。大学作为社会文明与进步的播火者,在国家国策的践行中,同样可率先垂范和培养具生态文明理念的接班人。要固守低碳生活的理念,将节俭美德作为高校育人的重要内容。该文将对正在进行的节约型校园建设,提供一些有益的经验参照。     

Estimation of flood frequencies from data sets with outliers using mixed distribution functions

In this paper the estimation of high return period quantiles of the flood peak and volume in the Kolubara River basin are carried out. Estimation of flood frequencies is carried out on a data set containing high outliers which are identified by the Rosner’s test. Simultaneously, low outliers are determined by the multiple Grubbs–Beck. The next step involved the usage of the mixed distribution functions applied to a data set from three populations: floods with low outliers, normal floods and floods with high outliers. The contribution of the data set with low outliers is neglected, since it should underestimate the flood quantiles with large return periods. Consequently, the best fitted mixed distribution from the applied types (EV1, GEV, P3 and LP3) was determined by using the minimum standard error of fit.     

自我表露及其作用

有关自我表露的研究是心理学关于自我研究的一个重要领域,心理学家发现,展示个人信息的行为有重要的心理学意义.自我表露是个人成长和自我实现的必要环节,是个体印象管理和应对压力的有效方式,也是心理治疗的重要途径.     

大城市低收入老人群体状况分析

本文依据在广州的调查数据 ,揭示了低收入老人的群体特征 ,提出制订老龄政策时 ,适当照顾低收入老人 ,同时动员家庭、单位和社会都来积极关心这部分脆弱群体     

财政压力下的日本制度变迁研究

本文应用新制度经济学的研究方法,探讨财政问题对政府主导型制度变迁的影响。战后日本在经济赶超过程中形成的"强政府干预"发展模式越来越不能适应内外环境的变化,改革势在必行。但由于日本的"强政府干预"模式是一个长期形成的稳定且复杂的系统,而政府主导的改革又无异于"自我革命",因而制度变迁是困难的。本文通过对日本上世纪80年代以来政府改革的动因——效果(即"政府、企业、个人"关系变化)的考察,认为财政危机是构成日本制度变迁的"硬约束",财政压力是日本经济高速增长结束后"官主导"模式演化的直接起因。     

The Tempo of Sexual Activity and Later Relationship Quality

Rapid sexual involvement may have adverse long‐term implications for relationship quality. This study examined the tempo of sexual intimacy and subsequent relationship quality in a sample of married and cohabiting men and women. Data come from the Marital and Relationship Survey, which provides information on nearly 600 low‐ to moderate‐income couples living with minor children. Over one third of respondents became sexually involved within the first month of the relationship. Bivariate results suggested that delaying sexual involvement was associated with higher relationship quality across several dimensions. The multivariate results indicated that the speed of entry into sexual relationships was negatively associated with marital quality, but only among women. The association between relationship tempo and relationship quality was largely driven by cohabitation. Cohabiting may result in poorer quality relationship because rapid sexual involvement early in the romantic relationship is associated with entrance into shared living.     

镇泾地区地层异常压力与油气运聚关系

针对镇泾地区长₆~长₈层位油气运聚方向不明确致使该区油气勘探受阻的现状，采用异常压力研究的新思路来寻找油气勘探认识上的突破口。利用声波测井资料制作近50口井泥砂岩压实曲线、计算每口井的压力系数，结合镇泾油田的地质背景，研究镇泾地区地层的压实特征及异常压力与油气成藏条件和运移成藏过程之间的关系，并将各种因素的时空配置关系有效地结合起来研究镇泾地区的成藏问题。对进一步论证鄂尔多斯盆地西南部延长组的勘探潜力有重要意义。