灾后新生旅游地居民的生活质量满意度属性研究——以汶川映秀镇和北川永昌镇为例

灾害旅游是挖掘灾害遗产资源、加快灾后复兴的有效途径。居民生活质量满意度是确保灾害旅游重建可持续发展的关键。以灾后新生旅游地汶川映秀镇和北川永昌镇为案例,从非对称影响视角入手,应用Tetra-class模型对灾后新生旅游地居民生活质量满意度属性进行研究,结果显示：生活质量属性对居民总体满意度的影响模式涵盖Tetra-class模型的四种类型;生活质量属性绩效评价为居民总体满意度提升提供有针对性的改进策略;生活质量满意度结构模型不仅包括生活质量属性绩效与总体满意度的关系,还揭示了各属性所对应的居民生活需求层次以及灾后美好生活政策供给层面,能够为特定情境化生活质量满意度评估提供一般化视角。     

Sample size calculation for logrank test and prediction of number of events over time

We review and compare existing methods for sample size calculation based on the logrank statistic and recommend the method of Lakatos for its accuracy and flexibility in allowing time-dependent rates of event, loss to follow-up, and noncompliance. We extend the Lakatos method to allow a general follow-up scheme, to handle non-inferiority tests, and to predict the number of events over calendar time. We apply the Lakatos method to the simple nonproportional hazard situation of delayed treatment effect to facilitate the comparison of different weighting methods and to evaluate the performance of the maximum combination tests. We use simulation studies to confirm the validity of the Lakatos method and its extensions.     

Mediating role of citizen empowerment in the relationship between participatory monitoring and evaluation and social sustainability

The paper explores the mediating influence of citizen empowerment on the relationship between participatory monitoring and evaluation (PM&E) and social sustainability as a contribution to the ongoing debate on sustainability. The empirical investigation took the form of mixed-methods approach with the objectives to determine the extent to which PM&E influences citizen empowerment; establish the extent to which citizen empowerment influences social sustainability; and establish the joint influence of PM&E and citizen empowerment on social sustainability. The study employed a concurrent parallel design, in which samples for quantitative and qualitative components were different but drawn from the same population, and data collected within the same timeframe. Quantitative data were analyzed through bivariate and multiple regression analyses. Conversely, the qualitative component utilized interpretive technique and recursive abstraction to organize, summarize and give impression on the causal mechanisms at play in the quantitative data. Evidence from the study revealed that citizen empowerment mediates the relationship between PM&E and social sustainability. The study also found that when PM&E and citizen empowerment are considered together, citizen empowerment seems to have a dominant influence on social sustainability than PM&E itself. Thus, the government and development practitioners should prioritize citizen empowerment as a precursor to the realization of social sustainability outcomes.     

“人肉搜索 ”的作用、风险及其控制

＂人肉搜索＂这种由人工参与解答,通过机器算法获得结果的搜索机制,在利用现代科技发展过程中逐渐形成了自己的特色。＂人肉搜索＂对社会产生了广泛影响,一方面起到打击违法犯罪,监督政府官员,强化道德压力和为民排忧解难的社会积极作用;另一方面也存在侵犯隐私的隐患和暴力性风险。借助道德的力量和法律的控制手段规约＂人肉搜索＂,可以避免其可能产生的隐患,发挥人肉搜索的积极效应,促进其健康发展。     

“三牧问题”的出路：私人承包与规模经营

将规模经济和外部效应两者结合来研究牧场承包在实施过程中所面临的问题及其变化.首先探讨私人承包的原因和缺陷;然后得出一个产权均衡模型,解释规模经济如何影响公地悲剧的效果,使得牧民的自利性放牧行为偏离社会最优目标;最后以内蒙古三个牧区的私人承包现状为研究背景对牧场整合实施中的问题作进一步的经验分析.在此基础上,从产权的角度提出了若干政策建议,以期提高牧场整合的实施效率.     

论教师期望理论与初中生发展的关系

教师期望是指教师在对学生的知觉感受基础上产生的对学生行为结果的某种预测性认知。近年来,国内外的心理学与教育学研究者对教师期望理论进行了大量的实证研究,确定了教师期望的概念和几种典型的理论模型。文章重点介绍了教师期望理论模型,教师期望对学生身心和学习诸方面的影响,而且教师期望对学生全面发展的影响是极为显著。     

韩愈的思想品性及其影响

韩愈被后人誉为＂文起八代之衰,道济天下之溺＂,尊为＂文宗＂,列唐宋八大家之首,在中国文学史上有着无可替代的作用,其人格品性、思想文章、立身行事对后世产生了深远的影响：思想上,＂道济天下之溺＂,在佛老盛行的中唐,举起儒学复兴的大旗,建立道统;人格上,＂忠犯人主之怒＂,勇于坚持自己的政治理想,敢于犯颜直谏、为民请命;情操上,＂勇夺三军之帅＂,忠君爱国,致力维护国家的统一和稳定。     

资本监管与银行风险行为的研究:文献综述

在对银行风险行为度量方法进行综述的基础上,对国内外资本监管与银行风险行为的影响进行了综述.资本监管对银行风险行为的影响一直存在两种不同的观点:预期收入效应会刺激银行追求更高的风险;在险资本效应迫使银行在投资时采取谨慎行为.     

社会工作专业情景教学

社会工作专业是一门应用型专业,目的是培养学生助人自助的技巧与能力.传统教学方法的局限性,不能满足现代社会就业机制对学生素质的要求.在对传统教学方法进行改革的呼声下,情景教学应运而生,情景教学不仅能提高教学效果,同时,能满足就业市场对学生能力的期望.     

预应力混凝土脊骨梁剪力滞效应研究

脊骨梁的悬臂特别长,作为梁的一部分,翼板将参与梁的纵向弯曲,其横向剪力滞效应非常显著;同时悬臂板将板上的荷载横向传递给脊梁时产生横向弯曲,即还存在纵向剪力滞效应问题,为了明确脊骨梁整体和局部力学行为特征,以及翼板在横向弯曲时的纵向有效分布宽度,通过组合有限元方法,建立脊骨梁的三维实体单元模型,考虑预应力和各种加载方式,分析预应力混凝土脊骨梁纵向、横向剪力滞效应,为混凝土脊骨梁的设计提供参考。