On the analysis of multivariate repeated measures designs

The relationship between the mixed-model analysis and multivariate approach to a repeated measures design with multiple responses is presented. It is shown that by taking the trace of the appropriate submatrix of the hypothesis (error) sums of squares and crossproducts (SSCP) matrix obtained from the multivariate approach, one can get the hypothesis (error) SSCP matrix for the mixed-model analysis. Thus, when analyzing data from a multivariate repeated measures design, it is advantageous to use the multivariate approach because the result of the mixed-model analysis can also be obtained without additional computation.     

化学热力学函数偏微商等式证明方法探讨

从基础热力学函数的相互关系出发，结合偏微商运算基本原理，归纳热力学函数偏微商变换的常用途径，并对化学热力学函数偏微商式的证明方法及技巧进行一些具体研讨。     

方向导数和偏导数

通过对方向导数和偏导数两者间区别与联系的论述，揭示了它们是同属于函数变化率问题的两个平行的不同的概念．     

Earnings and Consumption Dynamics: A Nonlinear Panel Data Framework

We develop a new quantile‐based panel data framework to study the nature of income persistence and the transmission of income shocks to consumption. Log‐earnings are the sum of a general Markovian persistent component and a transitory innovation. The persistence of past shocks to earnings is allowed to vary according to the size and sign of the current shock. Consumption is modeled as an age‐dependent nonlinear function of assets, unobservable tastes, and the two earnings components. We establish the nonparametric identification of the nonlinear earnings process and of the consumption policy rule. Exploiting the enhanced consumption and asset data in recent waves of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find that the earnings process features nonlinear persistence and conditional skewness. We confirm these results using population register data from Norway. We then show that the impact of earnings shocks varies substantially across earnings histories, and that this nonlinearity drives heterogeneous consumption responses. The framework provides new empirical measures of partial insurance in which the transmission of income shocks to consumption varies systematically with assets, the level of the shock, and the history of past shocks.     

基于智能体的大批量定制体系结构及协同方法

为满足大批量定制运营过程中动态特性和协同管理的要求,本文构建了一个多智能体的大批量定制体系结构,描述了大批量定制下各个智能体的规范,提出了3层协同模型,使用局部全局计划来解决大批量定制协同问题,并介绍了该方法在大批量定制协同的实例应用.     

Structural Nested Models and Standard Software: A Mathematical Foundation through Partial Likelihood

Abstract.  In observational studies treatment may be adapted to the patient's state during the course of time. These covariates may in turn also react on the treatment under study, and so on. This makes it hard to distinguish between treatment effect and selection bias. Structural nested models aim at estimating treatment effect in such complicated situations, even when treatment may change at any time. We show that structural nested models can often be calculated with standard software, by using standard models to predict treatment as a tool to estimate treatment effect. Robins ( Survival analysis, Volume 6 of Encyclopedia of Biostatistics , John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, 1998) conjectured this, but so far it was unproven. We use a partial likelihood approach to choose the estimators and tests as a subclass of the estimators and tests in Lok (math. ST/0410271 at http://arXiv.org , 2004). We show that this is the class of estimators and tests that can be calculated with standard software. The estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal, and have interesting asymptotic properties.     

Risk of Error and the Kappa Coefficient of a Binary Diagnostic Test in the Presence of Partial Verification

The accuracy of a binary diagnostic test is usually measured in terms of its sensitivity and its specificity, or through positive and negative predictive values. Another way to describe the validity of a binary diagnostic test is the risk of error and the kappa coefficient of the risk of error. The risk of error is the average loss that is caused when incorrectly classifying a non-diseased or a diseased patient, and the kappa coefficient of the risk of error is a measure of the agreement between the diagnostic test and the gold standard. In the presence of partial verification of the disease, the disease status of some patients is unknown, and therefore the evaluation of a diagnostic test cannot be carried out through the traditional method. In this paper, we have deduced the maximum likelihood estimators and variances of the risk of error and of the kappa coefficient of the risk of error in the presence of partial verification of the disease. Simulation experiments have been carried out to study the effect of the verification probabilities on the coverage of the confidence interval of the kappa coefficient.     

非线性回归分析的一种有理逼近

利用有理插值逼近回归函数,把最小二乘法和插值技术结合起来,充分利用已知信息,达到最佳逼近,通过实例,获得了很好的效果。     

Some characterizations of discrete distributions based on weak records

Let X ₁, X ₂,... be iid random variables (rv's) with the support on nonnegative integers and let (W _n , n≥0) denote the corresponding sequence of weak record values. We obtain new characterization of geometric and some other discrete distributions based on different forms of partial independence of rv's W _n and W _n+r —W _n for some fixed n≥0 and r≥1. We also prove that rv's W ₀ and W _n+1 —W _n have identical distribution if and only if (iff) the underlying distribution is geometric.     

基于非线性偏最小二乘的操作臂逆解算法

操作臂逆运动学问题是机器人控制中的一项重要内容。目前使用较多的神经网络法大多为多输入多输出或者 多输入单输出方式,需要大量运算。非线性偏最小二乘法( NLPLS)建立的模型分为内部和外部模型,样本数据经外部模 型处理后才用于训练若干个单输入单输出的神经网络。对PUMA560操作臂的仿真试验表明,在相同隐层神经元数的情 况下,该算法比普通神经网络法具有更好的预测精度。这也表明,NLPLS只需较少的隐层神经元数就可以达到普通方法 的精度,从而减少运算量。