Influence of Safety Measures on the Risks of Transporting Dangerous Goods Through Road Tunnels

Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) models are used to estimate the risks of transporting dangerous goods and to assess the merits of introducing alternative risk reduction measures for different transportation scenarios and assumptions. A comprehensive QRA model recently was developed in Europe for application to road tunnels. This model can assess the merits of a limited number of "native safety measures." In this article, we introduce a procedure for extending its scope to include the treatment of a number of important "nonnative safety measures" of interest to tunnel operators and decisionmakers. Nonnative safety measures were not included in the original model specification. The suggested procedure makes use of expert judgment and Monte Carlo simulation methods to model uncertainty in the revised risk estimates. The results of a case study application are presented that involve the risks of transporting a given volume of flammable liquid through a 10-km road tunnel.     

电子商务对企业定价决策的影响分析及对策

互联网的普及为买卖双方实现交易提供了便利的同时,网上的价格比较侵蚀了商品的价格底线。文章分析了电子商务对企业定价的冲击,给出了“成本透明”条件下企业定价决策的若干建议。     

农村包围城市道路理论形成过程研究

"农村包围城市"革命道路理论是中国革命史上第一条独具中国特色的道路,它于土地革命战争时期初步形成,在抗日战争时期生根开花,在解放战争时期结出丰硕的果实。今天揭示其形成过程,有助于我们学习和掌握"实事求是"这一马克思主义基本观点,为有中国特色的社会主义建设所用。     

文学现代化的误区与“拿来主义”

中国文学现代化的努力已一个世纪有余,然而文坛经典之作却屈指可数;尤其是近十年来,伴随着话语转型而来的却是“失语”的焦虑;“颠覆”“消解”之后却不见有效的重构。具体表现在：一,我们的文艺理论一直在西方的文艺理论里徜徉;二,我们的创作在一味地模仿西方的现代形式。显然,我们的现代化已走入误区。鲁迅先生的拿来主义是照亮我们走出误区的圣火。     

一种新型的商品最优化定价方法

本文在偏态分布^[5]及收益区间定位分析^[6]的基础上,给出了商品的市场最优定价方法,从而可以方便地计算出商品在市场中的最优销售价及相应的预期利润额;本文同时给出了偏态分布的参数估计方法,这使本文所述最优化定价方法更具实用性。     

无外部市场条件下中间产品转移价格的博弈分析与决策

本文首先用反例证明了文^[1]中在各分厂成本函数和最终产品需求函数已知的条件下,给出的中间产品最优转移价格的两个计算公式并不总是成立的,给出了这两个计算公式成立的充要条件,并分析了公司关于中间产品转移价格决策的动态一致性问题。接着,利用完全信息动态博弈对中间产品转移价格的确定问题做了进一步的分析研究。最后,针对文^[1]中给出的中间产品最优转移价格的两个计算公式不成立的情况,讨论了中间产品转移价格的确定问题。     

论邓小平“解放思想”的战略意义

邓小平“解放思想”理论是开辟新时期新道路的宣言书 ,具有划时代的重大意义 :建立了一个新的中央领导集体 ;确立了一条新的党的基本路线 ;创立了一个建设有中国特色社会主义的新理论 ;开辟了一条建设社会主义的新道路     

远程大气监测网络的信号与信道匹配及设计

研究了远程大气自动监测网络的信道、抗干扰和信号和与信道的匹配问题，介绍了该监测网的设计，讨论了远程设备的自动控制，以及远程通讯，可靠性等问题。     

Is the Way Young People Drive a Reflection of the Way Their Parents Drive? An Econometric Study of the Relation Between Parental Risk and Their Children's Risk

This article aims to investigate parental influence on high-risk behavior by young people. Although research on the topic of perception of risk demonstrates that it is socially constructed, the role of the family in this construction has rarely been studied. Using a French national survey of more than 1,200 young drivers between the ages of 18 and 25, and their parents, we attempt to understand the transmission of risk within families. Our econometric study shows that parents influence both the practices and representations of their children. When parental norms and values are transmitted, they are by no means accepted in a wholly passive way. Indeed, the parental model is in competition with other models that originate from both inside the family (brothers and sisters) and outside it (instructors). Furthermore, parental influence decreases over time as young people become more experienced drivers and construct their own identity with regard to risk.     

一种用于Ad hoc网络的优化拥塞控制算法

从分析Adhoc网络的信息流竞争特点出发,引入了链路干扰集的概念,构建了一个基于链路干扰集的价格框架。在此框架中,某链路的拥塞信息被表示为此链路干扰集的总价格。并提出了相应的分布式平行算法-价格协同法PCA来求解在小时间段内网络状态不变的拥塞控制问题。同时,分析了PCA对网络状态变化的自适应性能。仿真结果表明,PCA能快速收敛到全局优化解,对网络状态的变化有较好的自适应能力,所获得的网络性能比TCP-Reno要优越得多。