话语前提特定意义的选择

在特定语境中 ,话语的含义只有一个 ,却可能有多个前提 ,一个前提也可能有多重意义。那么 ,在会话过程中 ,说话者是如何设定话语前提的 ,听话者又是如何对话语前提进行选择和理解的 ?本文从分析前提感知的失误入手 ,运用逻辑分析方法 ,从认知语用学角度考察听话者对预设前提的感知 ,分析选择前提特定意义的原则、策略和过程 ,进而提出前提空间定位的心理模式。笔者认为前提的选择有逻辑 -语义分析、语用推理和整合等三种不同等级的策略 ;话语前提的选择是感知 -推理 -理解 -选择的探索性过程。由此得出结论 :认知环境是话语前提的决定性因素 ,话语前提的正确选择可再现话语的语境表征 ,为话语内涵的理解提供信息表征和推理依据———基于真值条件的最佳关联     

转型时期我国农民的理智抉择

社会转型,农民主体意识觉醒,价值取向市场化、现代化。非农就业成为农民的理智抉择。抉择具有合理性和必然性,既符合我国国情,又符合国家的发展战略,是现代化发展的必由之路。     

Assessing goodness-of-fit of categorical regression models based on case-control data

Demonstrated equivalence between a categorical regression model based on case‐control data and an I‐sample semiparametric selection bias model leads to a new goodness‐of‐fit test. The proposed test statistic is an extension of an existing Kolmogorov–Smirnov‐type statistic and is the weighted average of the absolute differences between two estimated distribution functions in each response category. The paper establishes an optimal property for the maximum semiparametric likelihood estimator of the parameters in the I‐sample semiparametric selection bias model. It also presents a bootstrap procedure, some simulation results and an analysis of two real datasets.     

Adaptive tests of regression functions via multiscale generalized likelihood ratios

Many applications of nonparametric tests based on curve estimation involve selecting a smoothing parameter. The author proposes an adaptive test that combines several generalized likelihood ratio tests in order to get power performance nearly equal to whichever of the component tests is best. She derives the asymptotic joint distribution of the component tests and that of the proposed test under the null hypothesis. She also develops a simple method of selecting the smoothing parameters for the proposed test and presents two approximate methods for obtaining its P‐value. Finally, she evaluates the proposed test through simulations and illustrates its application to a set of real data.     

试论市场经济条件下劳动力市场的科学管理

本文论述了我国在计划经济体制下劳动制度的弊、端产生这些弊端的原因，及其与市场经济体制下劳动制度的区别和特征，阐明了劳动制度改革的必要性、迫切性以及科学管理的方法．     

Herd behavior and the quality of opinions

This paper analyzes a decentralized decision model by adding some inertia in the social leaning process. Before making a decision, an agent can observe the group opinion in a society. Social learning can result in a variety of equilibrium behavioral patterns. For insufficient ranges of quality (precision) of opinions, the chosen stationary state is unique and globally accessible, in which all agents adopt the superior action. Sufficient quality of opinions gives rise to multiple stationary states. One of them will be characterized by inefficient herding. The confidence in the majority opinion then has serious welfare consequences.     

论我国外贸代理制度的完善

从20世纪80年代起施行的我国外贸代理制度,在制度设计和实践操作上都存在着较大缺陷。本文以WTO对我国外贸代理制度的要求为指针,认为应采取转变对外贸代理制度的认识、整合外贸代理立法、改革我国外贸经营权制度等措施,完善我国的外贸代理制度,使其与国际商事规则接轨。     

市场调查:图书选题计划制定的关键

加强市场调查对提高图书选题策划的预测准确性作用极大。市场导向和市场反馈,将直接有助于出版机构了解市场的饱和点、空白点、热点、增长点和萎缩点,正确判断图书市场的现状和未来走势,进而在制订选题计划时更为合理地进行因势利导和科学决策。     

COMPARISONS AND SELECTION OF TWO-PARAMETER EXPONENTIAL POPULATIONS

For two-parameter exponential populations with the same scale parameter (known or unknown) comparisons are made between the location parameters. This is done by constructing confidence intervals, which can then be used for selection procedures. Comparisons are made with a control, and with the (unknown) “best” or “worst” population. Emphasis is laid on finding approximations to the confidence so that calculations are simple and tables are not necessary. (Since we consider unequal sample sizes, tables for exact values would need to be extensive.)     

风险投资家的双重逆向选择风险规避机制

风险投资过程中,由于信息的不对称,投资者与风险投资家之间、风险投资家与风险企业家之间存在着双重逆向选择风险。在融资阶段的信号传递机制中,作为代理人的风险投资家,选择融资计划书信号,向作为委托人的投资者传递其能力信号,投资者据此修正自己的先验概率,然后根据后验概率,与风险投资家签定合同规避风险;在投资阶段的信息甄别机制中,作为中间委托人的风险投资家先提供合同,这时唯一可能是分离均衡,即不同类型的风险企业家选择不同的合同规避风险。