Decisions About the “If,” “When,” and “How” of Moving Home: Can a Relocation Service Help? A Welsh Case Study

This small-scale, Welsh qualitative study explores how a new “moving on” service empowered older people to move voluntarily from their home to an extra-care facility. Eighteen older people were interviewed about their experiences of the service, which offered in-person, bespoke information, advice, financial, practical, brokerage, and emotional support about moving. Findings indicate three service use patterns: continuous, partial, and discontinued. It was instrumental in empowering clients to exercise decisional, executional, delegated, and/or consumer autonomies. Recommendations for future developments of a prototype “moving on” service include a multipartner approach and caseworker case management training modeled on social work practice.     

Worldwide fertility declines do not rely on stopping at ideal parities

A key demographic hypothesis has been that fertility declines rely on stopping at target parities, but emerging evidence suggests that women frequently reduce fertility without specific numeric targets. To assess the relative importance of these two paths to fertility decline, we develop a novel mixture model to estimate: (1) the proportion of women who stop at a target parity; and (2) mean completed fertility among those who do not. Applied to Demographic and Health Survey data from women aged 45–49 in 84 low- and middle-income countries, and to United States Census cohorts, the model shows considerable variation in the proportion stopping at specific parities (1–84?per cent). The estimates also show that declines in completed fertility are largely attributable to women who do not stop at target parities, suggesting that stopping at ideal parities may be less important than parity-independent decisions for a wide range of fertility transitions.     

Time to first significant job for vocational graduates in Spain

In this paper we analyze the transition from vocational education to a first significant job for Spanish young people. The data comes from the Survey on Education and Labor Market Transitions, targeting various collectives who finished their non-university studies. Discrete duration models are estimated to identify the determinants of the time-to-first significant job. The main results show that, contrary to what is expected, there are no significant differences for students graduating in intermediate or in advanced vocational training. Nonetheless, vocational education is characterized by a high specialization by gender, which is translated into differences in the transition to employment. Furthermore, previous professional experience in precarious jobs does not improve access to quality employment, whereas internships performed within studies, when evaluated by the young as satisfactory, have a positive impact. Other subjective aspects, such as a high value assigned to work or family or a priority focused on achieving a stable job lead to a smoother school-to-work transition.     

Women's self‐presentation and the transition from classroom to workplace

Organizations place context‐specific appearance demands on women — demands that often echo wider inequalities, require adaptation of self‐presentation and impact on women's careers. Despite this, the effect of life and career stage transition on women's self‐presentation and embodied identities remains largely unexplored. Drawing on a qualitative study of young British women's body modification, this article examines what impact transitioning from education into the world of work has on women's self‐presentation and body modification regimes and their embodied identities. Body modification here refers to all methods women use to alter their physical body and appearance (e.g., invasive or non‐invasive; self‐administered or other‐administered; permanent or temporary), provided the intention of their use is primarily to alter the user's physical appearance. Expectations of transition, the impact of entering the workplace and of career establishment are considered as well as the significance of career stage and vulnerability for resistance and negotiation of organizational expectations. Transition of life stage is found to be a catalyst for self‐presentation change. The transition from education to work is identified as having a significant impact on body modification practices across workplaces.     

王莽代汉的舆论考察

王莽从贵戚低层向权力核心靠拢并以和平方式登上皇帝宝座，与西汉后期社会舆论导向关系密切。汉末严重的社会危机使得"易姓改命"和"再受命"思潮渐为时人所接受，为王莽改朝换代奠定了理论和舆论基础；王莽折节恭俭、谦约退让、克心履礼、折节行仁、爵位益尊节操愈谦等不同时俗的行为举止，塑造了良好的个人形象，使其成为社会各阶层心目中的"圣贤之人"，朝野内外颂声并作，获得社会各阶层的拥戴与支持，为其代汉做了舆论上的引导；符命瑞应舆论的制造昭示着其代汉是天命所归，王莽在舆论的推动下"不得已"完成新汉政权的和平嬗代。总之，舆论引导与制造推动了汉新政权的顺利更迭，舆论战在王莽禅汉的道路上发挥了无与伦比的作用。     

Beyond the nature–labour divide: trade union responses to climate change in South Africa

ABSTRACT

We present the life histories of two environmentally engaged unionists in South Africa, who were decisive for formulating the environmental programmes of their respective trade unions. Their experiences of participating in the resistance against apartheid in universities and factories taught them the necessity to connect different struggles and equipped them with the knowledge and ability to connect the fight for workers’ rights with the fight against environmental degradation. Both activists experienced the difficulty of integrating ‘the environment’ politically and practically into a trade union agenda. The labour movement has traditionally experienced nature as a place outside of work to be enjoyed for recreation. While nature constitutes an indispensable condition for labour, it has been privately appropriated by Capital. For environmental policies to form an integral part of union agendas, nature needs to be wrestled away from its appropriation by Capital and understood as an inseparable ally of labour.     

Rethinking the “buffering” theory of neighborhood racial transition

In metropolitan areas with significant numbers of Latinx and Black people, Santiago (1991) hypothesized that Latinx groups may “buffer” white neighborhoods from Black ones. Farley and Frey (1994, https://doi.org/10.2307/2096131 ) subsequently suggested that Latinx and Asian groups provide a social or spatial “buffer” that enables White and Black neighborhood coresidence. In predominantly White spaces, increases in the neighborhood shares of Latinx and Asian populations moderates White resistance to the presence of Blacks, and this helps explain growing neighborhood racial diversity in the United States. This essay suggests expanding the thesis in several ways. We first consider reversing the theory wherein Latinx and Asian groups provide a “buffer” enabling White and Black coresidence because Blacks are cushioned from the actions of Whites. This view requires us to include not only White tolerance but also White intolerance in the buffering logic. Second, we point out that racially mixed neighborhoods may also come about because people want to live in such diverse environments. Third, this leads to a consideration of processes of neighborhood racial mixing that include the roles of real estate markets actors in shaping neighborhood outcomes as well as the motivations of Latinx, Asian, and mixed-race populations.     

‘Scarred’ young entrepreneurs. Exploring young adults’ transition from former unemployment to self-employment

The recent increase in youth unemployment has major implications for the current and future development of European labour markets. Previous studies reveal the long lasting ‘scarring effects’ of early unemployment experience on later career prospects, including a higher probability of future unemployment or social exclusion. Self-employment is often advocated as a potential remedy for unemployment in general and youth unemployment in particular. In this study, we investigate the individual-level factors that lead young people with the ‘scar’ of previous unemployment to engage in self-employment. Based on a recent survey among young adults in eleven European countries, we show that previous unemployment has a significant moderating effect on other individual-level characteristics usually associated with a higher likelihood of being self-employed. While the overall propensity of self-employment is not affected by unemployment experience, the reasons for becoming one’s own boss differ considerably between those young adults who have and those who have not experienced unemployment in the past.     

A local unit root test in mean for financial time series

A common financial trading strategy involves exploiting mean-reverting behaviour of paired asset prices. Since a unit root test can be used to determine which pairs of assets appear to exhibit mean-reverting behaviour, we propose a new Bayesian unit root to detect the presence of a local unit root vs. mean-reverting nonlinear smooth transition heteroskedastic alternative hypotheses. This test procedure is based on the posterior odds. For simultaneous estimation and inference, we employ an adaptive Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme, which utilizes a mixture prior specification to solve the likelihood identification problem of the smoothing parameter and the autoregressive coefficient with a unit root. The size and power properties of the proposed method are examined via a simulation study. An empirical study examines the mean-reverting behaviour of price differential between stock and future.     

超越狭隘的文化民族主义——以中国美学的现代转型为例

文化激进主义和文化保守主义实质上是文化民族主义的一体两面。尽管这种狭隘的文化民族主义或许并不像人们所讨论的那般深重和浓烈,但它的出现并非空穴来风,无中生有。它的存在妨碍着中国文化现代转型中的创造。在我们无法规避文化全球化进程的今天,超越狭隘的文化民族主义立场和倾向,以更开放的心态、多元并存的态度、共生互补的策略,打破各执一端的“中国化”或“西化”的单线进化论的思维框架,建立一种诠释学的方式从主体性走向主体间性,在中国古典美学与现代(西方)美学之间的“视界融合”中创造性地转化,并在这种累积转化中积极地回应现时代的现实问题和现代性的挑战,或许是中国美学完成现代转型无法规避的一个建设性向度。