How do countries choose their monetary policy frameworks?

This paper investigates the determinants of countries’ choices of monetary policy framework. A brief narrative focused on groupings of countries motivates an econometric analysis which draws on previous work on the determinants of exchange rate regimes, bringing in standard factors as well as the trade networks of potential anchor currency blocs and the financial market depth that are emphasised in the narrative. The model turns out to be able to predict three quarters of countries’ choices, and there is no obvious systematic pattern in the errors. The results have important implications for how countries should choose their monetary policy frameworks.     

国内外二语词汇深度研究综述

近十几年来国内外研究者开始将词汇研究的重点从宽度或词汇量的研究转向对词汇深度或词质量的研究。和产出性词汇相比 ,接受性词汇习得具有明显的“超出”现象 ;词汇知识习得过程存在一定的发展模式 ,如学习初期词义发展较快 ,中高级阶段派生、搭配等发展较快 ;词汇深度和广度与语言综合能力尤其是阅读能力关系密切     

Multivariate outlier detection in incomplete survey data: the epidemic algorithm and transformed rank correlations

Summary.  As a part of the EUREDIT project new methods to detect multivariate outliers in incomplete survey data have been developed. These methods are the first to work with sampling weights and to be able to cope with missing values. Two of these methods are presented here. The epidemic algorithm simulates the propagation of a disease through a population and uses extreme infection times to find outlying observations. Transformed rank correlations are robust estimates of the centre and the scatter of the data. They use a geometric transformation that is based on the rank correlation matrix. The estimates are used to define a Mahalanobis distance that reveals outliers. The two methods are applied to a small data set and to one of the evaluation data sets of the EUREDIT project.     

叛逆女性的性格悲剧--《雷雨》中繁漪形象的深度阐解

《雷雨》中的繁漪是具有鲜明特色和复杂蕴涵的叛逆女性形象，其鲜明特色在于独特性的雷雨性格，其复杂蕴涵在于人性建构中的理性因素与非理性因素和个体生命力中的创造性力量与破坏性力量的相兼相制，因而深切地显现出人性的深度。     

Resampling-based Classification Using Depth for Functional Curves

The depths, which have been used to detect outliers or to extract a representative subset, can be applied to classification. We propose a resampling-based classification method based on the fact that resampling techniques yield a consistent estimator of the distribution of a statistic. The performance of this method was evaluated with eight contaminated models in terms of Correct Classification Rates (CCRs), and the results were compared with other known methods. The proposed method consistently showed higher average CCRs and 4% higher CCR at the maximum compared to other methods. In addition, this method was applied to Berkeley data. The average CCRs were between 0.79 and 0.85.     

对我国高等院校“专接本”教育模式的反思

本文阐明"专接本"教育的双重属性,表明"专接本"教育的定位内涵,提出"专接本"教育区别于普通本科教育、也有别于专科职业教育,却是职业教育的接续和深化。强调变革现行"专接本"教育的培养方案、师资队伍、教学评价系统、教学管理机制。     

The practice of deliberative policy analysis in the context of political and cultural challenges: lessons from Thailand

ABSTRACT

This article draws upon insight from a study of those involved in introducing deliberative policy analysis in Thailand at the city scale and presents lessons for both policy practitioners and scholars. The design of each deliberative forum differed, depending on lessons learned from previous forums and the consensus that emerged as a result of deliberation amongst forum facilitators. The underlying principle of this kind of deliberative design is to make deliberative processes authentic, by avoiding coercion, inclusive, by engaging stakeholders who bring forth different ideas, and impactful. To make these forums more exciting, deliberative practices are often linked to other attractive discourses, such as those surrounding smart cities, creative spaces and inclusive development. The case of Thailand sheds light on emerging challenges involved in the practice of deliberative policy analysis in the context of both national political regimes that are not democracies and those in the East.     

我国高校通识教育课程审议模式探析

从主体、内容及过程等层面对课程审议模式的内涵予以澄清,基于审议的方向和重心的视角,提出上构式课程审议和下构式课程审议两种模式。通过对国内大学通识教育课程实践的考察,将其归纳为下构式的审议模式,在对其基本特征与成效进行分析的基础上,尝试创建一种上构式的通识教育课程审议模式,并对不同阶段的审议内容和特征展开论证。     

耕地红线的话语之争--可持续发展背后的争论及其思考

可持续发展已成为一种被普遍接纳的发展模式,但在具体的公共政策制定过程中,人们对于如何调整经济、社会、环境等各方面的关系、如何权衡不同目标的看法却强烈地受到认知框架和价值立场的影响,进而带来了可持续发展目标背后尖锐对立的政策争论。近年来引发社会热议的耕地红线问题就是一个典型的例子。从政策话语的视角,对耕地红线“存”“废”两派的观点进行分析,讨论了政策争论背后关于证据、故事诠释和认知图景上的分歧,进而认为,在可持续发展的宗旨背后,政策制定者面临着来自社会价值多元化以及人类认知复杂性的挑战,而打破话语霸权、促进不同话语之间平等、理性的审议协商是弥合分歧、构建共识的重要途径。     

On smoothness of Tukey depth contours

The smoothness of Tukey depth contours is a regularity condition often encountered in asymptotic theory, among others. This condition ensures that the Tukey depth fully characterizes the underlying multivariate probability distribution. In this paper we demonstrate that this regularity condition is rarely satisfied. It is shown that even well-behaved probability distributions with symmetrical, smooth and (strictly) quasi-concave densities may have non-smooth Tukey depth contours, and that the smoothness behaviour of depth contours is fairly unpredictable.