马克思的社会形态理论辨正

马克思的社会形态理论是五形态理论 ,该理论在马克思那里有充分的文本根据 ,马克思始终坚持了该理论。理解五形态理论的视角至关重要 ,须从“世界历史”的视角去理解它。马克思的五形态理论不是社会发展的单线论 ,而是既坚持社会发展规律的普遍性 ,又承认单个国家发展道路特殊性的辨证决定论。马克思不仅精辟地分析了在“世界历史”的大环境下个别国家超越式发展的深层原因 ,而且还提出了社会发展的三种基本的模式     

A Risk-Based Method for Modeling Traffic Fatalities

We describe a risk-based analytical framework for estimating traffic fatalities that combines the probability of a crash and the probability of fatality in the event of a crash. As an illustrative application, we use the methodology to explore the role of vehicle mix and vehicle prevalence on long-run fatality trends for a range of transportation growth scenarios that may be relevant to developing societies. We assume crash rates between different road users are proportional to their roadway use and estimate case fatality ratios (CFRs) for the different vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian combinations. We find that in the absence of road safety interventions, the historical trend of initially rising and then falling fatalities observed in industrialized nations occurred only if motorization was through car ownership. In all other cases studied (scenarios dominated by scooter use, bus use, and mixed use), traffic fatalities rose monotonically. Fatalities per vehicle had a falling trend similar to that observed in historical data from industrialized nations. Regional adaptations of the model validated with local data can be used to evaluate the impacts of transportation planning and safety interventions, such as helmets, seat belts, and enforcement of traffic laws, on traffic fatalities.     

公路建设项目施工期全程环境管理

通过分析公路施工期公路施工对自然生态、大气、声、水环境以及社会环境的影响,针对公路施工期环境管理的薄弱状态及施工期环境监理尚处于试点研究阶段的现状,提出了公路建设项目施工期全程环境管理的理念,建立施工期全程环境管理制度的思想:承包商、监理、业主及政府环保部门共同承担环保责任的“四位一体”的施工期环境管理模式,并对其内涵进行了分析。这对建立公路建设项目施工期全程环境管理制度、规范施工期的环境管理有着积极的推动作用。     

亚当·斯密的公路经济理论

研究了亚当.斯密公路经济理论的几个重要观点:公路的选址和规模、资金筹措、运营和征收车辆通行税等,并分析了车辆通行税管理权划归中央或地方的标准,得出建立监督机制、关注乡村公路和偏远公路有利于公路发展的结论,这对中国公路建设理论与实践有重要的借鉴作用。     

农民增收途径系统分析

由于农业结构调整滞后,农业资源配置不当,乡镇企业吸纳农村剩余劳动力的能力减弱,导致农民增收趋缓。农民增收的有效途径是:以市场为导向调整产业结构,促进农业产业化,加快小城镇建设,政府加大宏观支持力度。     

烟台市长江路交通信号线协调控制的设计思路与方法

简述了把传统的解析计算法和计算机仿真优化法相结合的线协调控制综合设计方法及设计流程.以烟台市开发区主干道长江路线协调控制为例给出了具体的设计方案,对设计方案进行了评价.     

收费公路运营效率测度及时空分异研究

收费公路行业内部债务治理与外部减税降费均要求收费公路运营降本增效。为了探析收费公路运营效率水平及其空间分布格局,使用SBM模型测度了2014—2020年29个省份收费公路运营效率,进而采用泰尔指数和Moran's I指数分析了其时空分异特征。研究认为:收费公路运营存在着效率较低且在时间维度上没有明显增长的趋势,在空间上存在发展不平衡问题,收费公路运营效率的区域差异主要来源于区域内部差异,区域内差异的贡献率平均达到81.578%; 收费公路运营效率具有空间正相关性,呈现出显著的“高-高”集聚和“低-低”集聚的空间特征,运营效率较高的省份对相邻省份具有正向溢出效应。研究表明,各省针对相邻省份或最近省份的运营效率现状,结合自身的比较优势探索产业升级或者物流发展模式,充分发挥相邻省份的经济发展和产业集聚对本省收费公路运营的辐射带动作用,推动建立起收费公路跨区域合作运营机制。     

The Chinese Road in the Light of Historical Continuity

The Chinese road has deep historical roots. Its most striking feature is that it is marked by historical continuity rather than rupture, and the main force behind this continuity is its intrinsic dynamism and vitality. Unlike the paradigm of Eurocentrism or “Discovering History in China,” the comparative analytical paradigm discovers China through long-term comparisons with corresponding countries in the same time and space in an effort to find positive elements in the history of the Chinese road and to refute the long prevalent theory of Chinese stagnation. Seen over the course of world history, the impetus for the creation of the world’s most brilliant agrarian civilization was endogenous. This impetus was not a momentary “explosive force” but a sustainable institutional drive whose main constituents were the independent farming household, endogenous government capacity and adaptive national governance. In addition to the main theme of “permanent change,” Chinese development had a secondary theme of “cyclical change” which cannot be ignored. The roots of Chinese development are buried deep in the genes of this agrarian nation in the form of sticky institutions, bureaucratic inertia, arbitrary power, etc. Historical continuity provided a foundation for China’s creative revolution and development in modern times, ultimately laying down a socialist development road with Chinese characteristics, although this remains an unfinished relay process.     

Financing Innovation Development in the Context of Foreign Experience and Domestic Practice

The importance of innovation development is determined by the strategic role that true innovations play in the development of the state and the formation of a healthy, competitive economy. The organization of massive industrial production—which applies advanced technological achievements and science-intensive knowledge to form an infrastructure for innovation—should be a key component of the government’s strategic policy to develop the national economy. In Russia, the infrastructure for innovation is less developed than other industrialized countries. This article considers the consequences of this underdevelopment, and proposes several ways of financing basic and applied research on the basis of foreign precedent and domestic practice.     

冯铿寻求女性解放道路的心路历程

潮籍革命女作家冯铿的创作始终贯穿着一条关注女性命运、寻求女性解放道路的主线。冯铿的作品序列展示了她寻求女性解放道路的心路历程,从早期强烈呼吁社会为正在遭受苦难的女性"快谋救护的法子",到批判像"一团肉"似的所谓的"时代女性",指明女性"最后的出路"是参加革命,认为真正的新女性是"把自己是女人这一回事忘掉干净"的革命女性。