突发重大疫情网络舆论的生成逻辑､演进特征与治理机制

新形势下突发重大疫情网络舆论不仅给疫情防控带来了严峻挑战，而且给维护国家意识形态安全带来了较大压力。厘清网络舆论的生成逻辑，把握网络舆论发展的演进特征，对做好网络舆论引导与谣言治理意义重大。在现代网络社会，随着交往实践的普遍进行，从现实逻辑、实践逻辑与理论逻辑来看，突发重大疫情网络舆论的生成，是网络议题、网络交往和网络传播相互作用的结果。受网络社会交往实践主体、客体、环体和介体等多种因素影响，突发重大疫情网络舆论又呈现为非线性的发展演进趋势，极易引发“蝴蝶效应”造成舆论秩序失范，甚至导致“塔西佗陷阱”的舆论信任危机，给疫情防控带来复杂变数。必须建立健全网络舆论治理机制，有效管控舆情，提高疫情防控治理水平。     

Another Issue Comes Out: Gay Rights Policy Voting in Recent U.S. Presidential Elections

Drawing from the theory of policy voting, this study examines the impact of opinions about gay rights on voting for presidential candidates. Qualitative analysis of the major party platforms and candidate campaign rhetoric from the six presidential elections held between 1988 and 2008 indicates that Democratic and Republican presidential candidates began openly expressing opposing positions on gay rights issues in 1992. Quantitative analysis of public opinion shows that, starting in 1992 and continuing through 2008, gay rights issues became more salient to the public, and opinions about gay rights began to exert a significant effect on vote choice. The study concludes with a discussion of the partisan forces that shaped the electoral significance of gay rights issues during the period from 1988 to 2008 and speculation about the role of gay rights issues in shaping future partisan electoral strategy.     

Changing Frameworks in Attitudes Toward Abortion

For more than two decades, legal abortion has been the subject of heated political debate and adversarial social movement activity; however, national polls have shown little change in aggregate levels of support for abortion. This analysis examines how the determinants of abortion attitudes have changed between 1977 and 1996, using data from the General Social Surveys. While in early time periods, whites were more approving of abortion than blacks, that pattern had reversed by the late 1980s. After controlling for other factors, older people are more accepting of abortion throughout the two decades, while gender is generally unrelated to abortion views. Catholic religion weakens slightly as a predictor of abortion attitudes, while religious fundamentalism and political liberalism increase in explanatory power. The associations between attitudinal correlates and abortion approval also change over this time period. Religiosity becomes a less powerful predictor of abortion attitudes, while respondents' attitude toward sexual freedom and belief in the sanctity of human life increase in their predictive power. Support for gender inequality remains a weak but stable predictor of abortion attitudes. This pattern of results suggests that the public is influenced more by the pro-life framework of viewing abortion than by the pro-choice perspective.     

论新闻报道策划的实践意义

新闻报道策划 在近几年的新闻实践中应用非常广泛。就报道主题、整合信息、沟通受众和发挥媒体整体优 势等方面论述了新闻报道策划的实践意义。     

试论近中国茶馆的社会功能

在近代中国 ,茶馆与民众生活紧密相连 ,并承担着广泛而又复杂的社会功能。茶馆与民众的经济生活相关联 ,也是民间纠纷调解的重要场所。同时 ,作为一个公众活动的场所 ,茶馆也是民间社会信息传播的集散地 ;民众在茶馆中表达自己的见解 ,也使得茶馆成为一种控制舆论的力量。茶馆的这些功能是近代民间社会内在运作逻辑的体现。     

论学术道德建设的运行机制

学术道德建设的机制是多种机制的整合。学术道德建设主要应形成学术道德教育培养机制、学术道德舆论引导机制和学术活动规范综合运行机制。这些机制的良性运行 ,才能促进学术活动的健康有序发展     

舆论监督:党风廉政建设和反腐败斗争的重要支点

完善民主监督制度,需要发挥舆论监督的作用。舆论是一定的社会集团对社会上某些重要问题重大事件所公开表露的带有倾向性的意见和言论,有自在型与自为型两种形态。舆论监督的主要形式有:新闻监督、群众监督、党内监督;舆论监督有及时、公开、广泛、特效、权威的特点;舆论监督的注意事项:服从、服务大局;舆论监督的作用:廉政建设的重要支点。     

当代中国期刊的忧患与使命

由于因特网的普遍使用和中国加入WTO ,中国期刊面临着挑战 ,中国期刊人要更深刻地认识自己的困境和使命 ,作好文化自主、舆论自主的准备 ,作好培养期刊市场、发展期刊产业的准备。同时也要作好与数字化结合的期刊多形态发展的准备     

古代颜色观的发展 --《说文》糸部颜色字考

文章通过对《说文解字》糸部颜色字的字型分析 ,探讨其反映的文化内涵 ,并进一步揭示古人颜色观所具有的现代意义     

Modeling External Risks in Project Management

To ascertain the viability of a project, undertake resource allocation, take part in bidding processes, and other related decisions, modern project management requires forecasting techniques for cost, duration, and performance of a project, not only under normal circumstances, but also under external events that might abruptly change the status quo. We provide a Bayesian framework that provides a global forecast of a project's performance. We aim at predicting the probabilities and impacts of a set of potential scenarios caused by combinations of disruptive events, and using this information to deal with project management issues. To introduce the methodology, we focus on a project's cost, but the ideas equally apply to project duration or performance forecasting. We illustrate our approach with an example based on a real case study involving estimation of the uncertainty in project cost while bidding for a contract.