| 黑龙江省人口预测及分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘桂莲,王福林.黑龙江省人口预测及分析[J].东北农业大学学报(社会科学版),2007,5(2):89-91. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘桂莲 王福林 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北农业大学,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150030 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于第五次人口普查数据对黑龙江省人口进行了预测。预测结果表明:按中方案黑龙江省人口将于2018年左右进入负增长,人口数量将达3 896．11万人,高方案将于2032年进入负增长,人口数量将达4 004．8万人。人口老化将很快成为人口的又一个突出矛盾。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口预测 预测模型 生育模式函数 人口老龄化 |
Forecast and Analysis of Population in Heilongjiang |
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| Liu Guilian,Wang Fulin.Forecast and Analysis of Population in Heilongjiang[J].Journal of Northeast Agricultural University:Social Science Edition,2007,5(2):89-91. |
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| Authors: | Liu Guilian Wang Fulin |
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| Abstract: | Carried on the estimate to the province population of Heilongjiang for the fifth time according to census data, estimate the result enunciation: The province population that press medium project Heilongjiang will be 38. 96 million in 2018 into the negative growth,the high project will enter the negative growth in 2032, the population quantity will amount to 40.04 million people. |
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| Keywords: | population forecast forecasting model function of women fertility aging of the population |
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