Bias Correction in the Dynamic Panel Data Model with a Nonscalar Disturbance Covariance Matrix

Approximation formulae are developed for the bias of ordinary and generalized Least Squares Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in dynamic panel data models. Results from Kiviet [Kiviet, J. F. (1995), on bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models, J. Econometrics68:53-78; Kiviet, J. F. (1999), Expectations of expansions for estimators in a dynamic panel data model: some results for weakly exogenous regressors, In: Hsiao, C., Lahiri, K., Lee, L-F., Pesaran, M. H., eds., Analysis of Panels and Limited Dependent Variables, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 199-225] are extended to higher-order dynamic panel data models with general covariance structure. The focus is on estimation of both short- and long-run coefficients. The results show that proper modelling of the disturbance covariance structure is indispensable. The bias approximations are used to construct bias corrected estimators which are then applied to quarterly data from 14 European Union countries. Money demand functions for M1, M2 and M3 are estimated for the EU area as a whole for the period 1991: I-1995: IV. Significant spillovers between countries are found reflecting the dependence of domestic money demand on foreign developments. The empirical results show that in general plausible long-run effects are obtained by the bias corrected estimators. Moreover, finite sample bias, although of moderate magnitude, is present underlining the importance of more refined estimation techniques. Also the efficiency gains by exploiting the heteroscedasticity and cross-correlation patterns between countries are sometimes considerable.     

ROBUST METHODS FOR DEPENDENT CELL PEDIGREE DATA

This paper studies a robust approach to the analysis of cell pedigree data, building on the work of Huggins & Marschner (1991) which discussed M-estimation for the so-called bifurcating autoregressive process. The study allows for incomplete observation of the pedigree, and incorporates the possibility of additive effects outliers, as discussed in the time series literature. Some properties of the proposed estimation procedure are studied, including a Monte Carlo investigation of robustness in the presence of contamination.     

用声学测量预报等温淬火球墨铸铁强度

等温淬火球墨铸铁的机械性能与其声学性能相关。本文将两种碳当量球铁在８４５，８９９和９４５℃温度进行奥氏体处理，在２６０，３１６和３７１℃温度进行等温淬火得到证实。声学性能测量包括共振频率，声速和内耗。由共振频率转换成动态模量表示出这种关系可以用来预报球墨铸铁不同热处理条件下的机械性能。     

Some remarks on the physical models concerning two different approaches to inference in statistical process control

Summary For technological applications it can be useful to identify some simple physical mechanisms, which, on the basis of the available knowledge of the production process, may suggest the most appropriate approach to statistical control of the random quantities of interest. For this purpose the notion of rupture point is introduced firstly. A rupture point is characterized bym randomly arising out of control states, assumed to be mutually exclusive and stochastically independent. Shewhart's control charts seem to represent the natural statistical tool for controlling a rupture point; however it is shown that they are fully justified only when the hazard rates attached to the causes of failure are constant. Otherwise, typically in the presence of time increasing hazard rates, Shewhart's control charts should be completed by a preventive intervention rule (preventive maintenance). In the second place, the notion of dynamic instability point is introduced, which is specifically characterized by assuming that the random quantity of interest is ruled by a stochastic differential equation with constant coefficients. By discretization, developed according to a possibly new approach, it is shown that the former model reduces to an equation error model, which is among the simplest used in adaptive control, and thus particularly easy to deal with in regard to parameter estimation and the definition of the optimum control rule.     

中小企业CRM系统的OLAP设计与实现

根据中小企业CRM发展需求,构建了OLAP分析模型,为企业提供决策支持.     

基于顾客资源的动态竞争优势

随着市场竞争环境变化的加剧,企业战略竞争的基点正在从企业内部的资源转移到企业适应外部环境的动态能力上,顾客资源因能有效地衔接企业内部资源和外部环境机会而成为弥足珍贵的战略性资源,以顾客资源为基础构筑的核心竞争力正日益体现出强大的动态竞争优势。因此,企业只有通过加快转变企业的战略管理理念、重构企业内部的业务流程、改革传统的价值链模式和实施企业的顾客忠诚化管理等途径构筑基于顾客资源的动态竞争优势,才能将企业立于竞争的不败之地。     

斜腿刚构桥几何布局的优化设计

采用数学规划的方法从静力和动力两方面对斜腿刚构桥的几何布局进行优化设计。静力优化设计的优化目标是截面截面应力平方均值最小，动力优化设计的优化目标是结构自振周期平方和最小。采用了直接搜索法寻优。通过算例可知，这两种优化设计方法均可行，且均为刚性设计。     

基于可达性的用户最优动态交通配流模型研究

以多种已有模型为基础，建立了动态配流流量细化原则，并依据这一原则，在避免估算路段走行时间的情况下构造了一个改进的新模型．该模型的解释性强，具有全局收敛性，并考虑了距离不同带来的可达性的影响．在对该模型最优解条件的充要性进行说明的同时，对新模型的择路机理也予以了推证．     

存储区域网络iSCSI协议的通信机制研究

介绍了存储区域网络主要采用的组网协议,包括FC协议、FCIP协议、iFCP协议和iSCSI协议,着重研究了一种利用TCP/IPI网组建存储区域网络的协议-iSCSI协议,分析了iSCSI协议的通信机制,比较了在IP网络上实现iSCSI协议通信的3种方法,开发了一种iSCSI协议数据单元与TCP数据帧间的接口算法及其硬件设计,并用 VHDL语言成功进行了行为级的仿真。     

基于数据挖掘的Internet远程教学研究

研究了基于数据挖掘的Internet远程教学模型和方法,提出利用数据挖掘解决基于Internet的远程教学还存在的诸如怎样获得准确的反馈信息、怎样实现个性化学习、怎样实现自动答疑等问题的思想。研究表明,数据挖掘可以解决Internet远程教学中现有的一些问题,促进Internet远程教学的发展。