基于索洛模型的区域经济增长驱动因素实证研究

在供给侧改革背景下,区域经济增长的驱动因素显著影响着区域经济的高质量和可持续发展。以索洛增长模型为基本框架,利用2003～2017年安徽省经济发展相关数据开展实证研究,测算资金投入、劳动力投入、技术进步各因素对经济增长的贡献率;同时对模型进行扩展,研究安徽省经济增长的长期驱动力量,对现期和远期的动能转换加以阐述。研究认为,现阶段资金投入仍然是安徽省经济产出的主要驱动因素,劳动力投入的经济推动效应相对较小,技术进步的驱动力量逐步提升,安徽省远期经济发展将主要依赖于技术创新驱动。安徽省应注重科技创新,进行产业结构优化调整,将技术因素融于资金、劳动供给侧,全面深化以技术为主的供给侧改革,加快经济增长动力转型。     

神似译作——倾“力”打造

根据格式塔学派关于"结构同形"的观点,本文认为,引入"力"的概念能为"以形传神"的讨论铺平道路,即文学翻译要做到"神似",就必须充分考量原文的"神"力,"意"力和"形"力,并力争使三者融合.     

"城市化"发展模式的选择与农村剩余劳动力转移

"三农"问题是我国的重中之重,解决"三农"的突破口在农村剩余劳动力的转移,而"城市化"则是转移的最佳途径.我国建国以来一直采用城乡分隔的管理体制,城市化远远滞后于工业化.在城市化不同的发展模式选择上,有以大中城市发展为重心和以发展小城镇为重心两种主要观点.不同的城市化发展模式对农村剩余劳动力转移影响不同.根据我国的国情,我国的城市化模式应该是既能发挥城市的集聚功能,又能很好地实现农村剩余劳动力的转移.由此,我国应该以发展大中城市为主,小城镇建设为辅助.在大城市转移剩余劳动力有限的情况下,小城镇可以发展以为农服务的产业来实现农村剩余劳动力的非农化转移.     

以人的全面发展为尺度的社会发展及其历史本原

在<1857-1858年经济学手稿>中,马克思提出的以人的全面发展为尺度的社会发展三形态理论,以宏大的历史尺度和深厚的历史底蕴成为他论述社会发展理论的哲学总纲领.马克思通过劳动性质、财富尺度和自由时间这三个基本维度,不仅从"自由个性"、"自由劳动"与"自由时间"相统一的角度揭示了人和社会互动生成的社会历史机制,而且从"实体"与"主体"相统一的角度论证了历史唯物主义的生产力本原.     

Rhetoric and Reality of Economic Self-sufficiency Among Rural,Low-Income Mothers: A Longitudinal Study

This study examined the contributions of maternal labor force participation and marital status on economic self-sufficiency over time for rural mothers. Data were from 174 rural families participating in three waves of data collection in Rural Families Speak. χ ² and multiple logistic regression were utilized. Results revealed only one-third of mothers moved toward economic self-sufficiency over three years. Maternal education, employment status, and weekly work hours were associated with improved economic well-being. Compared to single-parent families, unmarried-couple and married-couple families had increased odds of improving economically. In an analysis of all mothers with partners, married or unmarried, martial status was not significant in economic improvement. Findings suggest the role of marriage in welfare reform for rural families should be reconsidered.

Labor force participation and juvenile delinquency in Taiwan: a time series analysis

This study examines the null hypothesis of Granger no-causality between labor force participation (LFP) and juvenile delinquency in Taiwan. In order to explore this issue more thoroughly, this study adopts the approach proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995, Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250). It uses official time-series data provided by the Government of Taiwan. After estimating both a four- and five-variable VAR system, one that substitutes both male and female LFP rates for the aggregate LFP rate, the primary findings of this study reveal the following: The higher the past juvenile crime rate, the lower the future aggregate and female LFP rate will be. In addition, the higher the past male LFP rate, the higher the future juvenile crime rate will be. These findings are quite robust in terms of different lag-length structures.

金融危机对我国劳动力就业的影响

现阶段,由美国次贷危机引发的金融危机席卷全球,在全球经济一体化背景下,我国自然无法置身事外。金融危机对我国的影响表现在方方面面,其中对劳动力就业的冲击是最重要的问题之一。在现阶段的就业问题中,大学生就业和农民工返乡成为最为重要的两个方面。要应对金融危机对我国劳动力就业的影响,缓解就业压力,需要中央、地方政府、企业和个人的密切配合,从多方面入手寻求解决问题的根本途径。     

A New Kuznetsian Dynamic: The Knowledge Economy and Income Inequality in the United States, 1917–2008

The rise of the knowledge economy resulted in higher levels of income inequality in the United States and forced many to question the Kuznets Inverted‐U hypothesis. However, this study argues that the establishment of a knowledge economy does not negate the importance of employment shifts for income inequality. Instead, the expansion of knowledge employment alters the major sectors that are responsible for the overall distribution of income. To this end, this article presents the key argument that the current service–knowledge transition impacts income inequality trends, of today, in a way that is similar to the agricultural–industrial transition, of the past. According to the autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity regressions, the agricultural–industrial transition returns stronger associations with income inequality in the United States before 1950. The agricultural–industrial transition's impact diminishes thereafter as the service–knowledge transition shares a more robust association with income inequality after 1980.     

珠三角区域的创新路径选择与增长转型——理论、实践与政策评论

2008年的全球金融危机给了珠三角外向型经济以沉重打击，也为经济转型提供了契机。本文针对《珠江三角洲改革发展规划纲要（2008—2020年）》中提出的自主创新、产业升级和增长转型三个问题进行了理论阐述和实证分析，并对所实施的政策进行了评论，提出了通过创新的路径选择促进产业升级和增长方式转变的对策。     

不可抗力的法律效力

本文对不可抗力的基本理论和法律效力等问题加以论述。