全文获取类型
收费全文 | 11312篇 |
免费 | 363篇 |
国内免费 | 92篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 619篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 80篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 105篇 |
丛书文集 | 967篇 |
理论方法论 | 297篇 |
综合类 | 7025篇 |
社会学 | 201篇 |
统计学 | 2470篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 7篇 |
2023年 | 47篇 |
2022年 | 58篇 |
2021年 | 88篇 |
2020年 | 148篇 |
2019年 | 142篇 |
2018年 | 158篇 |
2017年 | 274篇 |
2016年 | 194篇 |
2015年 | 266篇 |
2014年 | 450篇 |
2013年 | 1254篇 |
2012年 | 657篇 |
2011年 | 626篇 |
2010年 | 541篇 |
2009年 | 561篇 |
2008年 | 645篇 |
2007年 | 761篇 |
2006年 | 765篇 |
2005年 | 754篇 |
2004年 | 689篇 |
2003年 | 653篇 |
2002年 | 519篇 |
2001年 | 521篇 |
2000年 | 311篇 |
1999年 | 117篇 |
1998年 | 89篇 |
1997年 | 68篇 |
1996年 | 59篇 |
1995年 | 79篇 |
1994年 | 57篇 |
1993年 | 41篇 |
1992年 | 39篇 |
1991年 | 24篇 |
1990年 | 15篇 |
1989年 | 25篇 |
1988年 | 15篇 |
1987年 | 14篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 4篇 |
1984年 | 10篇 |
1983年 | 7篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 452 毫秒
1.
在关于货币政策影响经济主体风险承担水平,进而影响金融周期波动机制的研究中,基于风险承担渠道的相关研究较为成熟.区别于以往相关研究多关注货币政策实际采取的立场,文章基于货币政策反应函数渠道探讨了数量型与价格型货币政策反应函数对金融周期波动影响的时变机制.滚动回归的实证结果显示:无论数量型货币政策规则还是价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性主要影响金融周期的波动,但在价格型货币政策规则下,基于信贷视角观察金融周期波动时,货币政策信贷敏感性与货币政策资产价格敏感性对金融周期影响差异较小;较之于价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性在数量型货币政策规则下,对金融周期波动的影响更显著,并在一定程度上表现出随时间扩大的趋势.文章的创新之处在于:强调了货币政策通过政策反应函数渠道而非以往研究中较多关注的狭义风险承担渠道影响金融周期波动的事实,并构建计量模型对货币政策反应函数渠道影响金融周期波动的时变机制进行了详细刻画. 相似文献
2.
Recently, Kambo and his co-researchers (2012) proposed a method of approximation for evaluating the one-dimensional renewal function based on the first three moments. Their method is simple and elegant, which gives exact values for well-known distributions. In this article, we propose an analogous method for the evaluation of bivariate renewal function based on the first two moments of the variables and their joint moment. The proposed method yields exact results for certain widely used bivariate distributions like bivariate exponential distribution, bivariate Weibull distributions, and bivariate Pareto distributions. An illustrative example in the form of a two-dimensional warranty problem is considered and comparisons of our method are made with the results of other models. 相似文献
3.
AbstractThis paper focuses on the inference of suitable generally non linear functions in stochastic volatility models. In this context, in order to estimate the variance of the proposed estimators, a moving block bootstrap (MBB) approach is suggested and discussed. Under mild assumptions, we show that the MBB procedure is weakly consistent. Moreover, a methodology to choose the optimal length block in the MBB is proposed. Some examples and simulations on the model are also made to show the performance of the proposed procedure. 相似文献
4.
We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical probability-generating function computed from the observations. Special emphasis is given to the popular models of integer autoregression and Poisson autoregression. The asymptotic properties of the proposed test statistics are studied under the null hypothesis as well as under alternatives. A Monte Carlo power study on bootstrap versions of the new methods is included as well as real-data examples. 相似文献
5.
信息技术与数学课程整合已成为必然趋势,各种教学辅助软件的出现使教师应接不暇。数学软件Maple凭借其简单的操作和强大的功能等优势被越来越多的数学教师作为辅助教学软件。本文用数学实验的方法介绍了Maple在高中数学教学中的几个应用实例,并对信息技术与课程整合与传统教学法之间的优缺点进行了比较。 相似文献
6.
本文基于期望效用最大化和L1-中位数估计研究了在线投资组合选择问题。与EG(Exponential Gradient)策略仅利用单期价格信息估计价格趋势不同,本文将利用多期价格信息估计价格趋势,以提高在线策略的性能。首先,基于多期价格数据,利用L1-中位数估计得到预期价格趋势。然后,通过期望效用最大化,提出一个新的具有线型时间复杂度的在线策略,EGLM(Exponential Gradient via L1-Median)。并通过相对熵函数定义资产权重向量的距离,进而证明了EGLM策略具有泛证券投资组合性质。最后,利用国内外6个证券市场的历史数据进行实证分析,结果表明相较于UP(Universal Portfolio)策略和EG策略,EGLM策略有更好的竞争性能。 相似文献
7.
《Risk analysis》2018,38(8):1559-1575
Security of the systems is normally interdependent in such a way that security risks of one part affect other parts and threats spread through the vulnerable links in the network. So, the risks of the systems can be mitigated through investments in the security of interconnecting links. This article takes an innovative look at the problem of security investment of nodes on their vulnerable links in a given contagious network as a game‐theoretic model that can be applied to a variety of applications including information systems. In the proposed game model, each node computes its corresponding risk based on the value of its assets, vulnerabilities, and threats to determine the optimum level of security investments on its external links respecting its limited budget. Furthermore, direct and indirect nonlinear influences of a node's security investment on the risks of other nodes are considered. The existence and uniqueness of the game's Nash equilibrium in the proposed game are also proved. Further analysis of the model in a practical case revealed that taking advantage of the investment effects of other players, perfectly rational players (i.e., those who use the utility function of the proposed game model) make more cost‐effective decisions than selfish nonrational or semirational players. 相似文献
8.
In this paper, the quantile-based flattened logistic distribution has been studied. Some classical and quantile-based properties of the distribution have been obtained. Closed form expressions of L-moments, L-moment ratios and expectation of order statistics of the distribution have been obtained. A quantile-based analysis concerning the method of matching L-moments estimation is employed to estimate the parameters of the proposed model. We further derive the asymptotic variance–covariance matrix of the matching L-Moments estimators of the proposed model. Finally, we apply the proposed model to simulated as well as two real life datasets and compare the fit with the logistic distribution. 相似文献
9.
试论投资基金的治理结构 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
投资基金的治理结构包含三个层次,即基金的各方当事人权利义务的制度安排、基金内部约束机制、外部市场压力及监管制度。针对我国基金治理结构目前存在的问题,可通过引入独立董事制度、将基金经理的报酬机制与公司的经营业绩挂钩、增强外部市场的竞争压力等途径,使之逐步完善。 相似文献
10.