走进内心的森林--读宁明的诗歌

常人所不具有的飞行体验铸就和强化了诗人宁明的敏感善察、内敛理性和达观通透，这些成为其人其作的精神底色，令其诗歌具有独特的美学意义。     

安置方式、人际交往与移民适应:江苏、浙江343户三峡农村移民的比较研究

本文依据对江苏、浙江两省6个县343户三峡外迁农村移民的调查数据，分析了相对集中与完全分散这两种不同的安置方式，以及由此所形成的两种不同的人际交往状况对外迁移民社会适应的影响。研究发现，从总体上看，移民在安置地的人际交往状况对移民的社会适应的影响十分显著。无论是移民之间的交往、还是移民与当地居民之间的交往，都会大大增强移民融入当地社会的程度。     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

社会转型与人际关系结构的变化--由情感型人际关系结构向理性型人际关系结构的转化

人们结成一定的人际关系结构是由人的需要决定的 ,而人的需要又可以简单地分为情感需要和理性需要 ,与此相应 ,人际关系结构可以分为情感型人际关系和理性型人际关系。在中国长期的传统社会里 ,由于受传统社会结构的影响 ,人际关系结构明显表现为以情感为核心 ,重情不重理是传统中国人行为的普遍逻辑。但是 ,当前我国正处于社会转型时期 ,社会结构正发生着急剧的变化 ,人际交往中理性成分日益增加 ,人际关系结构表现出由情感型人际关系结构向理性型人际关系结构变化的趋势 ,我们必须对此有着清醒的认识。     

儒、释、道的人际交往观比较研究

人是自然属性和社会属性高度集中的统一体,社会生产关系是决定人际交往关系的决定因素。人们在社会生产生活中必然发生某种关系,可统称为人际关系或社会关系。儒家、佛教、道教均有其各自的人际交往理论和实践,认真总结儒、释、道三家人际交往的经验教训,是建设具有中国特色社会主义新文化的时代要求。     

对外开放形势下的利率风险管理问题研究

我国加入世贸组织后 ,利率市场化进程将加快 ,利率风险将成为我国商业银行的一种主要风险。文章在介绍西方主要的利率风险衡量技术的基础上 ,分析了对外开放形势下 ,我国商业银行利率风险产生的原因 ,并从商业银行、监管当局、金融市场三个层面提出利率风险管理的有关建议     

Gini’s nuclear family

The purpose of this paper is to justify the use of the Gini coefficient and two close relatives for summarizing the basic information of inequality in distributions of income. To this end we employ a specific transformation of the Lorenz curve, the scaled conditional mean curve, rather than the Lorenz curve as the basic formal representation of inequality in distributions of income. The scaled conditional mean curve is shown to possess several attractive properties as an alternative interpretation of the information content of the Lorenz curve and furthermore proves to yield essential information on polarization in the population. The paper also provides asymptotic distribution results for the empirical scaled conditional mean curve and the related family of empirical measures of inequality.      

EFFECTS OF INTERNET USE AND SOCIAL RESOURCES ON CHANGES IN DEPRESSION

We examine how people's different uses of the Internet predict their later scores on a standard measure of depression, and how their existing social resources moderate these effects. In a longitudinal US survey conducted in 2001 and 2002, almost all respondents reported using the Internet for information, and entertainment and escape; these uses of the Internet had no impact on changes in respondents' level of depression. Almost all respondents also used the Internet for communicating with friends and family, and they showed lower depression scores six months later. Only about 20 percent of this sample reported using the Internet to meet new people and talk in online groups. Doing so changed their depression scores depending on their initial levels of social support. Those having high or medium levels of social support showed higher depression scores; those with low levels of social support did not experience these increases in depression. Our results suggest that individual differences in social resources and people's choices of how they use the Internet may account for the different outcomes reported in the literature.     

师生人际距离新论

人际距离是影响人际关系的一个重要因素,贯穿于整个教育过程中的师生距离是人际关系的重要内容,是影响师生交往,进而影响教育教学效果的一个关键因素.师生距离到底该近还是该远,一直是教育理论界热衷的话题.本文结合多年实践中的教育实例,就师生距离的远近问题作一新探讨与解读.     

都道湖湘好风神最可亲--当代湖湘散文掠影

散文的创作与阅读,是真诚而亲切的人际交流活动.当代湖湘散文的首要的、共同的美质,即在于此.这是优秀的湖湘文化润滋与培育的结果,其风神主要体现在如下几个方面人·岁月·生活;心·体验·思悟;文·情感·个性.但也还需要有进一步的提升.